Challenges in control of COVID-19: short doubling time and long delay to effect of interventions L Pellis, F Scarabel, HB Stage, CE Overton, LHK Chappell, E Fearon, ... Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 376 (1829), 20200264, 2021 | 168 | 2021 |
Shut and re-open: the role of schools in the spread of COVID-19 in Europe HB Stage, J Shingleton, S Ghosh, F Scarabel, L Pellis, T Finnie Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 376 (1829), 20200277, 2021 | 75 | 2021 |
Pseudospectral discretization of nonlinear delay equations: new prospects for numerical bifurcation analysis D Breda, O Diekmann, M Gyllenberg, F Scarabel, R Vermiglio SIAM Journal on applied dynamical systems 15 (1), 1-23, 2016 | 72 | 2016 |
Early epidemiological signatures of novel SARS-CoV-2 variants: establishment of B. 1.617. 2 in England R Challen, L Dyson, CE Overton, LM Guzman-Rincon, EM Hill, HB Stage, ... MedRxiv, 2021.06. 05.21258365, 2021 | 67 | 2021 |
De-escalation by reversing the escalation with a stronger synergistic package of contact tracing, quarantine, isolation and personal protection: feasibility of preventing a … B Tang, F Scarabel, NL Bragazzi, Z McCarthy, M Glazer, Y Xiao, ... Biology 9 (5), 100, 2020 | 62 | 2020 |
Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics ME Kretzschmar, B Ashby, E Fearon, CE Overton, J Panovska-Griffiths, ... Epidemics 38, 100546, 2022 | 43 | 2022 |
Canada needs to rapidly escalate public health interventions for its COVID-19 mitigation strategies F Scarabel, L Pellis, NL Bragazzi, J Wu Infectious Disease Modelling 5, 316-322, 2020 | 43 | 2020 |
Short-term forecasts to inform the response to the Covid-19 epidemic in the UK S Funk, S Abbott, BD Atkins, M Baguelin, JK Baillie, P Birrell, J Blake, ... MedRxiv, 2020.11. 11.20220962, 2020 | 35 | 2020 |
Numerical bifurcation analysis of a class of nonlinear renewal equations D Breda, O Diekmann, D Liessi, F Scarabel Electronic Journal of Qualitative Theory of Differential Equations 2016 (65 …, 2016 | 32 | 2016 |
Stability analysis of a state-dependent delay differential equation for cell maturation: analytical and numerical methods P Getto, M Gyllenberg, Y Nakata, F Scarabel Journal of mathematical biology 79, 281-328, 2019 | 28 | 2019 |
Quantifying the shift in social contact patterns in response to non-pharmaceutical interventions Z McCarthy, Y Xiao, F Scarabel, B Tang, NL Bragazzi, K Nah, ... Journal of Mathematics in Industry 10, 1-25, 2020 | 25 | 2020 |
A window of opportunity for intensifying testing and tracing efforts to prevent new COVID-19 outbreaks due to more transmissible variants. J Wu, F Scarabel, Z McCarthy, Y Xiao, NH Ogden Canada Communicable Disease Report= Releve des Maladies Transmissibles au …, 2021 | 24 | 2021 |
Equations with infinite delay: Numerical bifurcation analysis via pseudospectral discretization M Gyllenberg, F Scarabel, R Vermiglio Applied Mathematics and Computation 333, 490-505, 2018 | 23 | 2018 |
A renewal equation model to assess roles and limitations of contact tracing for disease outbreak control F Scarabel, L Pellis, NH Ogden, J Wu Royal Society Open Science 8 (4), 202091, 2021 | 20 | 2021 |
Estimation of reproduction numbers in real time: conceptual and statistical challenges L Pellis, PJ Birrell, J Blake, CE Overton, F Scarabel, HB Stage, ... Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society 185 …, 2022 | 18 | 2022 |
EpiBeds: Data informed modelling of the COVID-19 hospital burden in England CE Overton, L Pellis, HB Stage, F Scarabel, J Burton, C Fraser, I Hall, ... PLoS computational biology 18 (9), e1010406, 2022 | 15 | 2022 |
Numerical bifurcation analysis of renewal equations via pseudospectral approximation F Scarabel, O Diekmann, R Vermiglio Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics 397, 113611, 2021 | 14 | 2021 |
Pseudospectral approximation of Hopf bifurcation for delay differential equations BAJ de Wolff, F Scarabel, SM Verduyn Lunel, O Diekmann SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems 20 (1), 333-370, 2021 | 14 | 2021 |
Pseudospectral discretization of delay differential equations in sun-star formulation: Results and conjectures O Diekmann, F Scarabel, R Vermiglio Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems. Series S 13 (9), 2575-2602, 2020 | 14 | 2020 |
Global continuation of periodic oscillations to a diapause rhythm X Zhang, F Scarabel, XS Wang, J Wu Journal of Dynamics and Differential Equations 34 (4), 2819-2839, 2022 | 13 | 2022 |