[PDF][PDF] A mathematical framework for the evaluation of system expected utility not satisfied under periodic demand

A Maatouk, F Ayed, L Wenjie, H Bao… - Proceedings of the …, 2022 - re.public.polimi.it
A Maatouk, F Ayed, L Wenjie, H Bao, D Miao, K Lin, X Chen, E Zio
Proceedings of the 32nd European Safety and Reliability Conference …, 2022re.public.polimi.it
In this paper, we consider a general system whose reliability can be characterized with
respect to a periodic timedependent utility function related to the system performance in
time. When an anomaly occurs in the system operation, a loss of utility is incurred that
depends on the instance of the anomaly's occurrence and its duration. Under exponential
anomalies' inter-arrival times and general distributions of maintenance time duration, we
analyze the long-term average utility loss and we show that the expected utility loss can be …
In this paper, we consider a general system whose reliability can be characterized with respect to a periodic timedependent utility function related to the system performance in time. When an anomaly occurs in the system operation, a loss of utility is incurred that depends on the instance of the anomaly’s occurrence and its duration. Under exponential anomalies’ inter-arrival times and general distributions of maintenance time duration, we analyze the long-term average utility loss and we show that the expected utility loss can be written in a simple form. This allows us to evaluate the expected utility loss of the system in a relatively simple way, which is quite useful for the dimensioning of the system at the design stage. To validate our results, we consider as a use case scenario a cellular network consisting of 660 base stations. Using data provided by the network operator, we validate the periodic nature of users’ traffic and the exponential distribution of the anomalies inter-arrival times, thus allowing us to leverage our results and provide reliability scores to the aforementioned network.
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