Investigation of Adaptive Features of a Real-Time Freeway Traffic State Estimator

Y Wang, M Papageorgiou, A Messmer - 2006 - trid.trb.org
Y Wang, M Papageorgiou, A Messmer
2006trid.trb.org
This paper reports on real-data results for a real-time freeway traffic state estimator with
particular focus on its adaptive features. The pursued general approach to the real-time
adaptive estimation of the complete traffic state in freeway stretches is based on
macroscopic traffic flow modeling and extended Kalman filtering that are outlined in the
paper. One major innovative feature of the estimator is the on-line estimation of important
model parameters (free speed, critical density, and capacity) along with the estimation of …
This paper reports on real-data results for a real-time freeway traffic state estimator with particular focus on its adaptive features. The pursued general approach to the real-time adaptive estimation of the complete traffic state in freeway stretches is based on macroscopic traffic flow modeling and extended Kalman filtering that are outlined in the paper. One major innovative feature of the estimator is the on-line estimation of important model parameters (free speed, critical density, and capacity) along with the estimation of traffic flow variables (flows, mean speeds, and densities), which leads to three significant advantages of the traffic state estimator:(1) avoidance of off-line model calibration;(2) automatic adaptation to changing external conditions (eg weather and light conditions);(3) enabling of incident alarms. The purpose of the reported real-data testing is, first, to demonstrate advantage (1) by investigating the basic properties of the estimator (eg the significance of the on-line model parameter estimation) and, second, to reveal some adaptive capabilities of the estimator that enable the other two advantages of the estimator. The achieved testing results are quite satisfactory and promising for subsequent work.
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