Differences of opinion exist among forecasters—and between forecasters and users—
regarding the meaning of the phrase “good (bad) weather forecasts.” These differences of …

This paper is concerned primarily with the evaluation and comparison of objective and
subjective weather forecasts. Operational forecasts of three weather elements are …

Understanding the public's sources, perceptions, uses, and values of weather forecasts is
integral to providing those forecasts in the most societally beneficial manner. To begin …

Society invests considerable resources into the science and technology of weather services.
In order to effectively assess the market for weather services, and thus properly scale the …

There are numerous reasons for calculating forecast verification scores, and considerable
attention has been given to designing and analyzing the properties of scores that can be …

Water managers, cattle ranchers, and wildland fire managers face several barriers to
effectively using climate forecasts. Repeatedly, these decision makers state that they lack …

Past research has shown that individuals vary in their attitudes and behaviors regarding
weather forecast information. To deepen knowledge about these variations, this article …

One hundred and thirty-nine principles are used to summarize knowledge about forecasting.
They cover formulating a problem, obtaining information about it, selecting and applying …

The general public understands that there is uncertainty inherent in deterministic forecasts
as well as understanding some of the factors that increase uncertainty. This was determined …

Though we commonly make them the butt of our jokes, weather forecasters are in fact
exceptionally good at managing uncertainty. They consistently do a better job calibrating …