Freeway traffic speed estimation of mixed traffic using data from connected and autonomous vehicles with a low penetration rate

S He, X Guo, F Ding, Y Qi… - Journal of advanced …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
S He, X Guo, F Ding, Y Qi, T Chen
Journal of advanced transportation, 2020Wiley Online Library
Connected and autonomous vehicles (CAVs) are on the way to the field application. In the
beginning stage, there will be a mixed traffic flow, containing the regular human‐driven
vehicles and CAVs with a low penetration rate. Recently, the discussion about the impact of
a small proportion of CAVs in the mixed traffic is controversial. This paper investigated the
possibility of applying the limited data from these lowly penetrated CAVs to estimate the
average freeway link speeds based on the Kalman filtering (KF) method. First, this paper …
Connected and autonomous vehicles (CAVs) are on the way to the field application. In the beginning stage, there will be a mixed traffic flow, containing the regular human‐driven vehicles and CAVs with a low penetration rate. Recently, the discussion about the impact of a small proportion of CAVs in the mixed traffic is controversial. This paper investigated the possibility of applying the limited data from these lowly penetrated CAVs to estimate the average freeway link speeds based on the Kalman filtering (KF) method. First, this paper established a VISSIM‐based microsimulation model to mimic the mixed traffic with different CAV penetration rates. The characteristics of this mixed traffic were then discussed based on the simulation data, including the sample size distribution, data‐missing rate, speed difference, and fundamental diagram. Accordingly, the traditional KF‐based method was introduced and modified to adapt data from CAVs. Finally, the evaluations of the estimation accuracy and the sensitive analysis of the proposed method were conducted. The results revealed the possibility and applicability of link speed estimation using data from a small proportion of CAVs.
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