Investigating the impact of TB case-detection strategies and the consequences of false positive diagnosis through mathematical modelling

M Lalli, M Hamilton, C Pretorius, D Pedrazzoli… - BMC infectious …, 2018 - Springer
… -level model, to quantify the expected impact of … due to tuberculosis (TB) and a 90% reduction
in incidence rate by 2035, relative to 2015 [1]. However, the annual rate of decline of global

Tuberculosis in the Western Pacific Region: Estimating the burden of disease and return on investment 2020–2030 in four countries

J Estill, T Islam, RMGJ Houben, J Rudman… - … Regional Health …, 2021 - thelancet.com
… We projected the TB epidemic in Viet Nam and Lao People's … to use TIME Impact, an
established mathematical model which … Strategic planning for tuberculosis control in the Republic …

TIME Impact–a new user-friendly tuberculosis (TB) model to inform TB policy decisions

RMGJ Houben, M Lalli, T Sumner, M Hamilton… - BMC medicine, 2016 - Springer
Mathematical models can be valuable tools to inform rational … the care and control parameters
to reflect the expected effect and … model (thin solid line) closely match Global Tuberculosis

[HTML][HTML] Expected effects of adopting a 9 month regimen for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis: a population modelling analysis

EA Kendall, AT Fojo, DW Dowdy - The Lancet Respiratory medicine, 2017 - thelancet.com
… , while exerting pressure on the budgets of tuberculosis control programmes and posing a
major barrier to tuberculosis elimination worldwide. In May, 2016, WHO recommended a short-…

Optimal control analysis of tuberculosis (TB) with vaccination and treatment

S Ullah, O Ullah, MA Khan, T Gul - The European Physical Journal Plus, 2020 - Springer
… The local and global stability results of the DFE are analyzed … in any complex mathematical
model. The objective of SA is to … The findings show that the model-predicted infected curve is …

Estimating the impact of antiretroviral treatment on adult mortality trends in South Africa: A mathematical modelling study

LF Johnson, MT May, RE Dorrington, M Cornell… - PLoS …, 2017 - journals.plos.org
mathematical model to simulate the mortality trends that would have been expected in the
… not allow for changes over time in tuberculosis control programmes and ART effectiveness. …

New tuberculosis vaccines: advances in clinical development and modelling

CK Weerasuriya, RA Clark, RG White… - Journal of internal …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
… We summarize the mathematical modelling literature used to … -sensitive tuberculosis is
underway in India and expected to … the WHO Global Health Library for mathematical modelling

The impact of alternative delivery strategies for novel tuberculosis vaccines in low-income and middle-income countries: a modelling study

RA Clark, C Mukandavire, A Portnoy… - … Lancet Global Health, 2023 - thelancet.com
… deaths before 2050, compared with equivalent estimates of cases and deaths that would
be predicted to occur before 2050 with no new vaccine introduction (the baseline scenario). …

Modeling the effects of vaccination and treatment on tuberculosis transmission dynamics

A Kelemu Mengistu, PJ Witbooi - … of Applied Mathematics, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
… a deterministic mathematical model for tuberculosis (TB) … Globally, tuberculosis remains
a major global health problem, … The basic reproduction number ( ) is the expected average …

Alcohol consumption's attributable disease burden and cost-effectiveness of targeted public health interventions: a systematic review of mathematical models

AE Bardach, AO Alcaraz, A Ciapponi, OU Garay… - BMC Public Health, 2019 - Springer
… of total deaths are related to alcohol consumption worldwide. … mathematical model that allows
to simulate the expected … ] and tuberculosis screening [83], state-transition Markov models