ARIMA Model and Holt Winters Seasonal Smoothing Accuracy for Stock Price Prediction

ASE Hidayat, P Darmawan - Journal of Actuarial, Finance …, 2023 - e-journal.president.ac.id
ASE Hidayat, P Darmawan
Journal of Actuarial, Finance, and Risk Management, 2023e-journal.president.ac.id
One way to generate capital is by investments in the capital market, with the expectation that
this money will increase in tandem with an issuer's stock price. In the past few decades,
technology for communication and information has developed incredibly quickly, followed by
the introduction of 5G, which boosts data transfer rates. This study intends to compare the
accuracy of SARIMA and HOLTS WINTER SEASONAL SMOOTHING in predicting the price
of TLKM. The SARIMA (1, 1, 1) x (0, 1, 1) 52 model outperforms Holt's Winter Seasonal …
Abstract
One way to generate capital is by investments in the capital market, with the expectation that this money will increase in tandem with an issuer's stock price. In the past few decades, technology for communication and information has developed incredibly quickly, followed by the introduction of 5G, which boosts data transfer rates. This study intends to compare the accuracy of SARIMA and HOLTS WINTER SEASONAL SMOOTHING in predicting the price of TLKM. The SARIMA (1, 1, 1) x (0, 1, 1) 52 model outperforms Holt's Winter Seasonal Smoothing with a 3% MAPE in terms of forecasting TLKM stock price data
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