Country-level institutions and management earnings forecasts

W Li, J Ng, A Tsang, O Urcan - Journal of International Business Studies, 2019 - Springer
Journal of International Business Studies, 2019Springer
Using a comprehensive sample hand-collected from the original texts of management
earnings forecasts from 27 countries, we provide descriptive evidence on the country-level
institutional determinants and economic consequences of forecast characteristics. Using
principal component factors constructed from a number of country-level institutional
variables, we find that forecast disaggregation, frequency, precision, and attribution vary
significantly with the business and accounting environment of a country. We further …
Abstract
Using a comprehensive sample hand-collected from the original texts of management earnings forecasts from 27 countries, we provide descriptive evidence on the country-level institutional determinants and economic consequences of forecast characteristics. Using principal component factors constructed from a number of country-level institutional variables, we find that forecast disaggregation, frequency, precision, and attribution vary significantly with the business and accounting environment of a country. We further document that better quality management forecasts are generally associated with stronger stock market reactions and higher investment efficiency. Together, our findings suggest that country-level institutions play a vital role in voluntary disclosure characteristics.
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