Credit rating dynamics and Markov mixture models

H Frydman, T Schuermann - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2008 - Elsevier
… We estimate the mixture model with corporate credit rating histories from Standard & Poor’s …
Markov and two regime mixture models at the whole rating level meaning that rating

Markov regenerative credit rating model

P Pasricha, D Selvamuthu… - The Journal of Risk …, 2017 - emerald.com
Markov property is not appropriate for credit rating dynamics. The purpose of this article is to
address the non-Markov behavior of the rating dynamics… a non-Markov model, which is a non…

A novel corporate credit rating system based on Student'st hidden Markov models

A Petropoulos, SP Chatzis, S Xanthopoulos - Expert Systems with …, 2016 - Elsevier
… by Student’s-t mixture models with the same number of … independence property of the
hidden Markov chain (Cappé, … postulating models capable of capturing temporal dynamics

A review of non-Markovian models for the dynamics of credit ratings

G D'Amico, S Dharmaraja, R Manca… - Reports on Economics …, 2019 - ricerca.unich.it
… This behavior of the ratings can be modeled by MRGP. The originality of this … review on
non-Markovian credit rating dynamics. This survey presents non-Markov credit rating models in …

Credit rating dynamics in the presence of unknown structural breaks

H Xing, N Sun, Y Chen - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2012 - Elsevier
… structural break in rating transitions can be captured by the proposed model. We … -Markovian
behaviors in empirical studies. From this perspective, our model extends the mixture model

Dynamic credit scoring on consumer behavior using fuzzy Markov model

K Liu, KK Lai, SM Guu - … Multi-Conference on Computing in the …, 2009 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
… With such a mixture, the model turns out to be non-Markov and … credit rating but also on
past rating history. Parameters of the mixture model can be estimated from credit rating history

A Markov approach to credit rating migration conditional on economic states

M Kalkbrener, N Packham - arXiv preprint arXiv:2403.14868, 2024 - arxiv.org
… We develop a model for credit rating migration that accounts for the … the rating is modelled
as a time-homogeneous Markov chain. While the rating process itself possesses the Markov

Bayesian inference for issuer heterogeneity in credit ratings migration

A Kadam, P Lenk - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2008 - Elsevier
… chain could result unambiguously from a continuous time Markov chain rating migration …
continuous time Markov chain based mixture models to ratings data. The discrete time model of …

Identification of hidden Markov chains governing dependent credit-rating migrations

DV Boreiko, SY Kaniovski, YM Kaniovski… - … in Statistics-Theory …, 2019 - Taylor & Francis
… In this paper, a generalization involving a Markovian dynamics of tendency variables is
considered for each of the known coupling schemes. The corresponding maximum likelihood …

Estimation and forecasting of sovereign credit rating migration based on regime switching markov chain

SY Oh, JW Song, W Chang, M Lee - IEEE Access, 2019 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
… to a homogeneous Markov chain. It implies that the credit rating dynamics are subject to the
… Secondly, we observe that the second tier and non-investment credit ratings in economic …