T Kufel - Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and …, 2020 - ceeol.com
… In the first section, the review of the literature shows examples of the use of ARIMAmodels and their modifications for forecasting epidemics. The research methodology section contains …
L Bayyurt, B Bayyurt - medrxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
… (ARIMA) model was used to predict the confirmedcases and … In conclusion, ARIMAmodels have been created by … BIC values for case and death numbers for each country. According to …
… ARIMAmodel makes more pessimistic estimates than other … on COVID-19 is quite challenging for modeling and prediction. … cumulative confirmedcases in some European countries are …
OD Ilie, RO Cojocariu, A Ciobica, SI Timofte… - Microorganisms, 2020 - mdpi.com
… total number of confirmedcases of COVID-19reported during the … , ARIMA time series models were successfully applied to estimate the overall prevalence of COVID-19 in nine countries…
… is the number of cumulated confirmedcases Yi,k of the COVID-19 outbreak at day i in … It is possible to use the ARIMAmodel to do one-week forecasts of new COVID-19cases. We have …
… forecast the cumulative COVID-19confirmedcases, recovered cases, and confirmed deaths for the top-16 countries… seasonal ARIMAmodels for all the top-16 countries’ COVID-19cases…
… other epidemic models have been frequently applied to generate forecasts of the COVID-19 pandemic across … the top 15 countries with the most confirmedcases with spatial mapping. A …
… prediction intervals and forecasting periods. Our forecast analysis of COVID-19 dynamics showed a different … Overall, our analysis confirmed the with an increase in the number of cases, …
S Singh, BM Sundram, K Rajendran… - … countries, 2020 - researchportal.hw.ac.uk
… a predictionmodel for daily confirmedCOVID-19cases based on several covariates, and … This paper demonstrates that ARIMAmodels are a suitable tool to forecastcase trends …