Forecasting the duration of active and break spells in intrinsic mode functions of Indian monsoon intraseasonal oscillations
S Dwivedi, AK Mittal - Geophysical research letters, 2007 - Wiley Online Library
S Dwivedi, AK Mittal
Geophysical research letters, 2007•Wiley Online LibrarySeveral indices of the observed Indian summer monsoon intraseasonal oscillations (ISO)
are decomposed into their respective intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). For each ISO index, it
is shown that for most of the dominant IMFs, the peak in the active (break) regime may be
used as a predictor for the duration of the subsequent break (active) regime. Similar results
are also obtained for a Stochastic Forced Lorenz model proposed earlier as a paradigm
model for ISO.
are decomposed into their respective intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). For each ISO index, it
is shown that for most of the dominant IMFs, the peak in the active (break) regime may be
used as a predictor for the duration of the subsequent break (active) regime. Similar results
are also obtained for a Stochastic Forced Lorenz model proposed earlier as a paradigm
model for ISO.
Several indices of the observed Indian summer monsoon intraseasonal oscillations (ISO) are decomposed into their respective intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). For each ISO index, it is shown that for most of the dominant IMFs, the peak in the active (break) regime may be used as a predictor for the duration of the subsequent break (active) regime. Similar results are also obtained for a Stochastic Forced Lorenz model proposed earlier as a paradigm model for ISO.
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