The extent of agreement amongst current global climate models (GCMs) on the global
pattern of rainfall change simulated under enhanced greenhouse conditions is assessed.
We consider the results of five experiments which use a simple mixed layer ocean
formulation and five which use a fully dynamic ocean model ('coupled experiments'). For
many regions of the northern hemisphere there is strong agreement amongst both mixed
layer and coupled experiments on the sign of simulated rainfall change. However, in the …

The extent of agreement amongst current global climate models on the global pattern of
rainfall change simulated under enhanced greenhouse conditions is assessed. The results
of five experiments which use a simple mixed layer ocean formulation and five which use a
fully dynamic ocean model (coupled experiments) are considered. For many regions of the
northern hemisphere there is strong agreement amongst both mixed layer and coupled
experiments on the sign of simulated rainfal change. However, in the southern hemisphere …