Machine learning methods to perform pricing optimization. A comparison with standard GLMs

GA Spedicato, C Dutang, L Petrini - Variance, 2018 - hal.science
Variance, 2018hal.science
As the level of competition increases, pricing optimization is gaining a central role in most
mature insurance markets, forcing insurers to optimise their rating and consider customer
behaviour; the modeling scene for the latter is one currently dominated by frameworks
based on Generalised Linear Models (GLMs). In this paper, we explore the applicability of
novel machine learning techniques such as tree boosted models to optimise the proposed
premium on prospective policyholders. Given their predictive gain over GLMs, we carefully …
As the level of competition increases, pricing optimization is gaining a central role in most mature insurance markets, forcing insurers to optimise their rating and consider customer behaviour; the modeling scene for the latter is one currently dominated by frameworks based on Generalised Linear Models (GLMs). In this paper, we explore the applicability of novel machine learning techniques such as tree boosted models to optimise the proposed premium on prospective policyholders. Given their predictive gain over GLMs, we carefully analyse both the advantages and disadvatanges induced by their use
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