Modeling and surveillance of reporting delays of mosquitoes and humans infected with West Nile virus and associations with accuracy of West Nile virus forecasts
NB DeFelice, R Birger, N DeFelice, A Gagner… - JAMA network …, 2019 - jamanetwork.com
Importance West Nile virus (WNV) is the leading cause of domestically acquired arboviral
disease. Objective To develop real-time WNV forecasts of infected mosquitoes and human
cases. Design, Setting, and Participants Real-time forecasts of WNV in 4 geographically
dispersed locations in the United States were generated using a WNV model-inference
forecasting system previously validated with retrospective data. Analysis was performed to
evaluate how observational reporting delays of mosquito WNV assay results and human …
disease. Objective To develop real-time WNV forecasts of infected mosquitoes and human
cases. Design, Setting, and Participants Real-time forecasts of WNV in 4 geographically
dispersed locations in the United States were generated using a WNV model-inference
forecasting system previously validated with retrospective data. Analysis was performed to
evaluate how observational reporting delays of mosquito WNV assay results and human …
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