Monitoring the spread of COVID-19 by estimating reproduction numbers over time

T Hotz, M Glock, S Heyder, S Semper, A Böhle… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2020 - arxiv.org
To control the current outbreak of the Coronavirus Disease 2019, constant monitoring of the
epidemic is required since, as of today, no vaccines or antiviral drugs against it are known.
We provide daily updated estimates of the reproduction number over time at
https://stochastik-tu-ilmenau. github. io/COVID-19/. In this document, we describe the
estimator we are using which was developed in (Fraser 2007), derive its asymptotic
properties, and we give details on its implementation. Furthermore, we validate the estimator …

[引用][C] Monitoring the Spread of COVID-19 by Estimating Reproduction Numbers over Time. 2020

T Hotz, S Heyder, M Glock, S Semper, A Krämer… - arXiv preprint arXiv:2004.08557
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