Nonprofits in good times and bad times

CL Exley, NH Lehr, SJ Terry - Journal of Political Economy …, 2023 - journals.uchicago.edu
Journal of Political Economy Microeconomics, 2023journals.uchicago.edu
Need fluctuates over the business cycle. We conduct a survey revealing a desire for
nonprofit activities to countercyclically expand during downturns. We then demonstrate,
using comprehensive US nonprofit data drawn from millions of tax returns, that the public's
hopes are disappointed. Nonprofit expenditure, revenue, and balance sheets fluctuate
procyclically: contracting during national and local downturns. This finding is evident even
for a narrow group of nonprofits that the public most wishes would expand during downturns …
Need fluctuates over the business cycle. We conduct a survey revealing a desire for nonprofit activities to countercyclically expand during downturns. We then demonstrate, using comprehensive US nonprofit data drawn from millions of tax returns, that the public’s hopes are disappointed. Nonprofit expenditure, revenue, and balance sheets fluctuate procyclically: contracting during national and local downturns. This finding is evident even for a narrow group of nonprofits that the public most wishes would expand during downturns, for example, those providing critical needs such as food or housing. Our new facts contribute to the charitable giving, nonprofit, and business cycle literatures.
The University of Chicago Press
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