Population Projection Using a Dynamic System Approach: the Case of Population in Banda Aceh
Proceedings of International Conference on Natural and Environmental …, 2014•jurnal.usk.ac.id
Population growth is the change in the amount and composition of the population from year
to year. It requires a method to project not only number of the population, but also the
composition of the population in a region. In this study we apply dynamic system approach
to simulate and project the number and composition of the population of Banda Aceh based
on factors that influence population growth, that is, births, deaths, and migration. This
simulation and projection is done by Vensim PLE 6.0. 1c. Projecting population growth of …
to year. It requires a method to project not only number of the population, but also the
composition of the population in a region. In this study we apply dynamic system approach
to simulate and project the number and composition of the population of Banda Aceh based
on factors that influence population growth, that is, births, deaths, and migration. This
simulation and projection is done by Vensim PLE 6.0. 1c. Projecting population growth of …
Abstract
Population growth is the change in the amount and composition of the population from year to year. It requires a method to project not only number of the population, but also the composition of the population in a region. In this study we apply dynamic system approach to simulate and project the number and composition of the population of Banda Aceh based on factors that influence population growth, that is, births, deaths, and migration. This simulation and projection is done by Vensim PLE 6.0. 1c. Projecting population growth of Banda Aceh to year 2100 shows a positive trend with an average population growth of 0.88% every year with a ‘demographic bonus’ estimated to be around 2025-2035.
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