How can we tell if an Al Qaeda cell has been broken? That enough members have been
captured or killed so that there is a high likelihood they will be unable to carry out a new attack, …

… of counterterrorism measures in society. This thesis has explored the changes in the terrorism
risk discourses that laid the grounds for counterterrorism … to terrorism risk assessment. …

… to quantitatively assess the risk-reduction capabilities of military counterterrorism systems in
… The quantitative probabilistic risk assessment matrix provides information about the range …

… We explore how adversarial risk analysis addresses some standard counterterrorism models…
traditional probabilistic risk assessment methods like event trees to estimate terrorism risks. …

… risk assessments in countering violent extremism. In particular, it is concerned with risk
assessment … The value of risk assessment in counterterrorism is not restricted to case identification…

… We will discuss our conclusions in terms of the three areas of risk, risk assessment, risk
communication, and risk management. Risk assessment: Defender event trees and decision …

… Consequence Assessment The second step represents the modeling of the outcomes from
the terrorist scenarios generated in the risk assessment step. It provides the methodology for …

… As far as we can see, Department of Homeland Security (DHS) decision-makers do not
follow robust risk assessment methodology. If they did, low cost solutions that are easily …

… In both books I provide a framework for security risk assessments. This is fundamental to
addressing counterterrorism issues from first principles and to developing truly strategic …

… answers to all of these questions, but this research note aims to explore some of these
issues as a first step in the design of risk assessment tools for development in counter-terrorism. …