[PDF][PDF] Self-Organizing Gaussian Mixture Map Based on Adaptive Recursive Bayesian Estimation.

H Ni, Y Wang, B Xu - Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, 2020 - cdn.techscience.cn
H Ni, Y Wang, B Xu
Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, 2020cdn.techscience.cn
The paper presents a probabilistic clustering approach based on self-organizing learning
algorithm and recursive Bayesian estimation. The model is built upon the principle that the
market data space is multimodal and can be described by a mixture of Gaussian
distributions. The model parameters are approximated by a stochastic recursive Bayesian
learning: searches for the maximum a posterior solution at each step, stochastically updates
model parameters using a “dualneighbourhood״ function with adaptive simulated annealing …
Abstract
The paper presents a probabilistic clustering approach based on self-organizing learning algorithm and recursive Bayesian estimation. The model is built upon the principle that the market data space is multimodal and can be described by a mixture of Gaussian distributions. The model parameters are approximated by a stochastic recursive Bayesian learning: searches for the maximum a posterior solution at each step, stochastically updates model parameters using a “dualneighbourhood״ function with adaptive simulated annealing, and applies profile likelihood confidence interval to avoid prolonged learning. The proposed model is based on a number of pioneer works, such as Mixture Gaussian Autoregressive Model, Self-Organizing Mixture Map, and have some favoured attributes on its robust convergence and good generalization. The experimental results on both artificial and real market data show that the algorithm is a good alternative in measuring multimodal distribution.
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