Sensitivity of chest X-ray for lung cancer: systematic review

S Bradley, S Abraham, A Grice, RR Lopez… - British Journal of …, 2018 - bjgp.org
S Bradley, S Abraham, A Grice, RR Lopez, J Wright, T Farragher, B Shinkins, RD Neal
British Journal of General Practice, 2018bjgp.org
Background Lung cancer is a leading cause of premature death. Early diagnosis is
associated with improved outcomes. While chest X-ray remains the first line investigation,
individual studies have indicated that a proportion of lung cancers are not identified (false
negatives); this is one cause of delayed diagnoses. Aim To estimate the proportion of
patients with lung cancer who have had a chest X-ray in the year prior to diagnosis which
was not interpreted as having features suspicious for lung cancer. Method A broad search …
Background
Lung cancer is a leading cause of premature death. Early diagnosis is associated with improved outcomes. While chest X-ray remains the first line investigation, individual studies have indicated that a proportion of lung cancers are not identified (false negatives); this is one cause of delayed diagnoses.
Aim
To estimate the proportion of patients with lung cancer who have had a chest X-ray in the year prior to diagnosis which was not interpreted as having features suspicious for lung cancer.
Method
A broad search strategy was devised including several synonyms for chest X-ray and lung cancer. Screening and paediatric data, studies from before 1999 and studies based on retrospective interpretation of radiology were excluded. A 20% random sample screened by a second reviewer to ensure consistency.
Results
Analysis is almost complete: 8362 studies were identified. Twenty-nine studies met the inclusion criteria. Heterogeneity precluded meta-analysis, however the combined population was 1557 patients of whom 954 (61.27%) had a positive chest X-ray. In four studies with a lower risk of bias, comprising 1052 patients, sensitivity ranged from 73.5% to 79.3% (mean 76.19%).
Conclusion
This review suggests that chest X-ray does not identify approximately 25% of cases, although the findings may be affected by publication bias. This finding needs replicating in a high-quality study that could also demonstrate the potential consequences on diagnostic intervals and stage at diagnosis. The findings also suggest that studies to evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of other modalities (e.g. low-dose CT scan) are needed.
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