Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the preceding winter strengthens in the mid-1970s and
remains high. This study investigates the hypothesis that the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO)
response to ENSO is key to this interdecadal change, using a 21-member ensemble
simulation with the Community Atmosphere Model, version 3 (CAM3) forced by the observed
history of sea surface temperature (SST) for 1950–2000. In the model hindcast, the TIO …