Seasonality and uncertainty in global COVID-19 growth rates

C Merow, MC Urban - … of the National Academy of Sciences, 2020 - National Acad Sciences
… We estimate how weather affects COVID-19 growth rate … on immune function, affects COVID-19
growth rate based on a … as influenza (16–19). Based on this research, we predicted that …

COVID-19 growth rate decreases with social capital

LR Varshney, R Socher - MedRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
… negative correlation between fitted COVID-19 growth rate exponent and both social capital
and community health indices: the more these indices, the slower the COVID-19 spread. The …

[HTML][HTML] Changes in testing rates could mask the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) growth rate

R Omori, K Mizumoto, G Chowell - International Journal of Infectious …, 2020 - Elsevier
… the epidemic growth rateCOVID-19 incidence, we illustrate how epidemic curves of reported
cases may not always reflect the true epidemic growth rate due to changes in testing rates, …

Global evidence for ultraviolet radiation decreasing COVID-19 growth rates

T Carleton, J Cornetet, P Huybers… - Proceedings of the …, 2021 - National Acad Sciences
… of COVID-19 and inform local public health responses. Using a comprehensive global dataset
of daily COVID-19 … lowers the cumulative daily growth rate of COVID-19 cases over the …

Community Use Of Face Masks And COVID-19: Evidence From A Natural Experiment Of State Mandates In The US: Study examines impact on COVID-19 growth rates …

W Lyu, GL Wehby - Health affairs, 2020 - healthaffairs.org
… the daily county-level COVID-19 growth rate, which is the difference in the natural log of
cumulative COVID-19 cases on a … This measure gives the daily growth rate in percentage points. …

… States Reduced The COVID-19 Growth Rate: Study evaluates the impact of social distancing measures on the growth rate of confirmed COVID-19 cases across the …

C Courtemanche, J Garuccio, A Le, J Pinkston… - Health …, 2020 - healthaffairs.org
… Percentage growth in cases is identical to percentage growth in … The growth rate was multiplied
by 100 and can be read as … In computing the growth rate, we followed a recent COVID-19

[HTML][HTML] Forecasting covid-19

M Perc, N Gorišek Miksić, M Slavinec, A Stožer - Frontiers in physics, 2020 - frontiersin.org
… determines maximally allowed daily growth rates that lead away from exponential increase
toward stable and declining numbers. Forecasts show that daily growth rates should be kept …

[HTML][HTML] Growth rate and acceleration analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic reveals the effect of public health measures in real time

YT Utsunomiya, ATH Utsunomiya… - Frontiers in …, 2020 - frontiersin.org
… We define growth rate and growth acceleration as the first and second order derivatives,
respectively, of the prevalence of COVID-19 in respect to time. In our framework, we selected …

Understanding spatial heterogeneity of COVID-19 pandemic using shape analysis of growth rate curves

A Srivastava, G Chowell - MedRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
… The growth rates of COVID-19 across different geographical … shapes of local COVID-19 growth
rate curves and statistically … of the daily incidence trajectory of the COVID-pandemic at two …

COVID-19 attack rate increases with city size

AJ Stier, MG Berman, L Bettencourt - arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.10376, 2020 - arxiv.org
… The current outbreak of novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) poses an … growth
rates and reproductive numbers of COVID-19 in US cities from March 14th through March 19th