[HTML][HTML] On the reliability of predictions on Covid-19 dynamics: A systematic and critical review of modelling techniques

JE Gnanvi, KV Salako, GB Kotanmi… - Infectious Disease …, 2021 - Elsevier
Covid-19 from January 1st , 2020 to November 30th , 2020. We further examined the accuracy
and precision of predictions … as well as uncertainties of these predictions. From an initial …

A model based study on the dynamics of COVID-19: Prediction and control

M Mandal, S Jana, SK Nandi, A Khatua, S Adak… - Chaos, Solitons & …, 2020 - Elsevier
… Next, in Section 5, we consider real-world examples on COVID-19 of three most COVID-19
affected states in India and derive some short term forecasting based on the proposed model. …

[HTML][HTML] Predictions of COVID-19 dynamics in the UK: Short-term forecasting and analysis of potential exit strategies

MJ Keeling, EM Hill, EE Gorsich… - PLoS computational …, 2021 - journals.plos.org
… In addition, though there have been recorded instances of superspreading events for
COVID-19 [26], our model does not explicitly account for such highly stochastic dynamics. Such …

[HTML][HTML] Application of mathematical modeling in prediction of COVID-19 transmission dynamics

A AlArjani, MT Nasseef, SM Kamal, BVS Rao… - Arabian Journal for …, 2022 - Springer
… , peak and transmission dynamics of a contagious disease … transmission dynamics of a
contagious disease such as COVID-19. … role in investigations of transmission dynamics where the …

[HTML][HTML] Temporal dynamics of COVID-19 outbreak and future projections: a data-driven approach

R Ranjan - Transactions of the Indian National Academy of …, 2020 - Springer
… A final but most important factor affecting the outbreak and the predictions is the epidemiology
of COVID-19 in different geographical regions. The values of epidemiological parameters …

[HTML][HTML] Prediction of COVID-19 transmission dynamics using a mathematical model considering behavior changes in Korea

S Kim, YB Seo, E Jung - Epidemiology and health, 2020 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
… We constructed a mathematical model of COVID-19 transmission based on the SEIR model
… of COVID-19 transmission according to our model, and the transmission dynamics can be …

[HTML][HTML] CBRR model for predicting the dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in real time

V Zakharov, Y Balykina, O Petrosian, H Gao - Mathematics, 2020 - mdpi.com
… The prediction of the novel coronavirus COVID-19 dynamics … and duration of the COVID-19
epidemic have already been … in order to model and predict the coronavirus dynamics [14,15]. …

[HTML][HTML] Modeling the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 epidemic: a systematic review

J Guan, Y Wei, Y Zhao, F Chen - Journal of Biomedical Research, 2020 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
… We identified 19 studies with 23 long-term predictions, 15 of which were for regions in
China, one for the US, four for India, one for Republic of Korea and another two for Italy. 21.7% …

Understanding dynamics of pandemic models to support predictions of COVID-19 transmission: parameter sensitivity analysis of SIR-type models

C Ma, X Li, Z Zhao, F Liu, K Zhang… - IEEE Journal of …, 2022 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
19 transmission, large predictive uncertainty remains. Failure to understand the dynamics
of the nonlinear pandemic prediction … and suggestions for COVID-19 prevention and control …

[HTML][HTML] Spread and impact of COVID-19 in China: a systematic review and synthesis of predictions from transmission-dynamic models

YF Lin, Q Duan, Y Zhou, T Yuan, P Li… - frontiers in …, 2020 - frontiersin.org
… In this systematic review of transmission-dynamic models predicting the spread of COVID-19
0 of COVID-19 was higher than that of middle east respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS…