Comparison of risk forecasts for cryptocurrencies: A focus on Range Value at Risk

FM Müller, SS Santos, TW Gössling, MB Righi - Finance Research Letters, 2022 - Elsevier
Abstract We forecast the Range Value at Risk (RVaR) of main cryptocurrencies using the
GARCH model with different error distributions. We compare the performance of the different …

GARCH modelling of cryptocurrencies

J Chu, S Chan, S Nadarajah, J Osterrieder - Journal of Risk and Financial …, 2017 - mdpi.com
With the exception of Bitcoin, there appears to be little or no literature on GARCH modelling
of cryptocurrencies. This paper provides the first GARCH modelling of the seven most …

A comparison of methods for forecasting value at risk and expected shortfall of cryptocurrencies

C Trucíos, JW Taylor - Journal of forecasting, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Several procedures to forecast daily risk measures in cryptocurrency markets have been
recently implemented in the literature. Among them, long‐memory processes, procedures …

Estimating the expected shortfall of cryptocurrencies: An evaluation based on backtesting

B Acereda, A Leon, J Mora - Finance Research Letters, 2020 - Elsevier
Abstract We estimate the Expected Shortfall (ES) of four major cryptocurrencies using
various error distributions and GARCH-type models for conditional variance. Our aim is to …

On the volatility of cryptocurrencies

T Panagiotidis, G Papapanagiotou… - Research in International …, 2022 - Elsevier
We perform a large-scale analysis to evaluate the performance of traditional and Markov-
switching GARCH models for the volatility of 292 cryptocurrencies. For each cryptocurrency …

Modelling volatility dynamics of cryptocurrencies using GARCH models

A Ngunyi, S Mundia, C Omari - 2019 - repository.dkut.ac.ke
Cryptocurrencies have become increasingly popular in recent years at-tracting the attention
of the media, academia, investors, speculators, regu-lators, and governments worldwide …

[HTML][HTML] Modelling volatility of cryptocurrencies using Markov-Switching GARCH models

GM Caporale, T Zekokh - Research in International Business and Finance, 2019 - Elsevier
This paper aims to select the best model or set of models for modelling volatility of the four
most popular cryptocurrencies, ie Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple and Litecoin. More than 1000 …

Forecasting cryptocurrencies returns: Do macroeconomic and financial variables improve tail expectation predictions?

KK Lawuobahsumo, B Algieri, A Leccadito - Quality & Quantity, 2024 - Springer
This study aims to jointly predict conditional quantiles and tail expectations for the returns of
the most popular cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Dogecoin and Litecoin) using …

GJR-GARCH volatility modeling under NIG and ANN for predicting top cryptocurrencies

F Mostafa, P Saha, MR Islam, N Nguyen - Journal of Risk and Financial …, 2021 - mdpi.com
Cryptocurrencies are currently traded worldwide, with hundreds of different currencies in
existence and even more on the way. This study implements some statistical and machine …

Cryptocurrencies value‐at‐risk and expected shortfall: Do regime‐switching volatility models improve forecasting?

L Maciel - International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
This paper evaluates the presence of regime changes in the log‐returns volatility dynamics
of cryptocurrencies using Markov‐Switching GARCH (MS‐GARCH) models. The empirical …