The impact of mixed-frequency geopolitical risk on stock market returns

J Yang, C Yang - Economic Analysis and Policy, 2021 - Elsevier
To timely track and evaluate the impact of dynamic geopolitical risk (GPR) shocks, we use
mixed-frequency GPR to explain and forecast stock market returns. Our empirical findings …

Historical geopolitical risk and the behaviour of stock returns in advanced economies

AA Salisu, L Lasisi, JP Tchankam - The European Journal of …, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
In this study, we investigate the impact of global geopolitical risk (GPR) of different forms on
the economies of advanced countries (G7 and Switzerland). We construct a predictive …

Geopolitical risk and stock market volatility in emerging markets: A GARCH–MIDAS approach

AA Salisu, AE Ogbonna, L Lasisi, A Olaniran - The North American Journal …, 2022 - Elsevier
In this study, we examine the connection between geopolitical risk (GPR) and stock market
volatility in emerging economies. Our motivation for this study is premised on the need to …

Geopolitical Risk and Stock Market Volatility in Emerging Economies: Evidence from GARCH‐MIDAS Model

M Yang, Q Zhang, A Yi, P Peng - Discrete Dynamics in Nature …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Previous studies have found that geopolitical risk (GPR) caused by geopolitical events such
as terrorist attacks can affect the movements of asset prices. However, the studies on …

Geopolitical risk and stock market volatility: A global perspective

Y Zhang, J He, M He, S Li - Finance Research Letters, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper investigates the relationship between geopolitical risk (GPR) and stock market
volatility from a global perspective. We use dynamic panel data including 32 countries and …

Geopolitical risk and excess stock returns predictability: New evidence from a century of data

F Ma, F Lu, Y Tao - Finance Research Letters, 2022 - Elsevier
This study applies a new series of geopolitical risk historical indices developed by Caldara
and Iacoviello (2022) to predict stock returns. Empirical results show that the geopolitical …

Investigating the impact of geopolitical risks on the commodity futures

S Mitsas, P Golitsis, K Khudoykulov - Cogent Economics & Finance, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
This paper examines the effect of real-time global geopolitical risks (GPRs), acts (GPAs),
and threats (GPTs) indices on monthly returns and volatility of several American commodity …

Geopolitical risks and investor sentiment: Causality and TVP-VAR analysis

Z He - The North American journal of economics and finance, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper aims to explore the relationship between geopolitical risks (GPR) and investor
sentiment in the US stock market based on Granger causality test and time-varying …

Geopolitical risks, returns, and volatility in emerging stock markets: Evidence from a panel GARCH model

C Bouras, C Christou, R Gupta… - … Markets Finance and …, 2019 - Taylor & Francis
In this article, we analyze the role of country-specific and global geopolitical risks (GPRs) on
the returns and volatility of 18 emerging market economies over the monthly period of 1998 …

Geopolitical risk and stock market development

M Khraiche, JW Boudreau, MSR Chowdhury - Journal of International …, 2023 - Elsevier
While previous literature has documented adverse impacts on financial markets in the days
following individual acts of terrorism or conflict-related events, we consider the more …