[PDF][PDF] Quantifying undetected COVID-19 cases and effects of containment measures in Italy: Predicting phase 2 dynamics

MG Pedersen, M Meneghini - preprint, 2020 - researchgate.net
The COVID-19 disease caused by the coronavirus SARS-nCoV2 is spreading rapidly across
the globe since its outbreak in China. Italy was the first seriously affected Western country …

Modeling the COVID-19 outbreaks and the effectiveness of the containment measures adopted across countries

E De Brouwer, D Raimondi, Y Moreau - MedRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
Abstract Background On March 11, 2020, the World Health Organization declared the
COVID-19 outbreak, originally started in China, a global pandemic. Since then, the outbreak …

Modeling the novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak in Sicily, Italy

A Maugeri, M Barchitta, S Battiato, A Agodi - International journal of …, 2020 - mdpi.com
Italy was the first country in Europe which imposed control measures of travel restrictions,
quarantine and contact precautions to tackle the epidemic spread of the novel coronavirus …

Chinese and Italian COVID-19 outbreaks can be correctly described by a modified SIRD model

D Caccavo - MedRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
The COVID-19 disease is rapidly spreading in whole globe, affecting millions of people and
pushing governments to take drastic measures to contain the outbreaks. The understanding …

The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures

E Bertuzzo, L Mari, D Pasetto, S Miccoli… - Nature …, 2020 - nature.com
The pressing need to restart socioeconomic activities locked-down to control the spread of
SARS-CoV-2 in Italy must be coupled with effective methodologies to selectively relax …

Covid-19 epidemic in Italy: evolution, projections and impact of government measures

G Sebastiani, M Massa, E Riboli - European journal of epidemiology, 2020 - Springer
We report on the Covid-19 epidemic in Italy in relation to the extraordinary measures
implemented by the Italian Government between the 24th of February and the 12th of March …

Covid-19 outbreak progression in Italian regions: approaching the peak by the end of March in Northern Italy and first week of April in Southern Italy

C Distante, P Piscitelli, A Miani - International Journal of Environmental …, 2020 - mdpi.com
Epidemiological figures of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Italy are higher than those observed
in China. Our objective was to model the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak progression in Italian …

Describing the COVID-19 outbreak during the lockdown: fitting modified SIR models to data

A Ianni, N Rossi - The European Physical Journal Plus, 2020 - Springer
In this paper, we analyse the COVID-19 outbreak data with simple modifications of the SIR
compartmental model, in order to understand the time evolution of the cases in Italy and …

Modeling the spread of COVID-19 in Germany: Early assessment and possible scenarios

MV Barbarossa, J Fuhrmann, JH Meinke, S Krieg… - Plos one, 2020 - journals.plos.org
The novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2), identified in China at the end of December 2019 and
causing the disease COVID-19, has meanwhile led to outbreaks all over the globe with …

Spread and dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy: Effects of emergency containment measures

M Gatto, E Bertuzzo, L Mari, S Miccoli… - Proceedings of the …, 2020 - National Acad Sciences
The spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Italy prompted drastic measures for
transmission containment. We examine the effects of these interventions, based on …