Modelling climate change: the role of unresolved processes

PD Williams - … Transactions of the Royal Society A …, 2005 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Our understanding of the climate system has been revolutionized recently, by the
development of sophisticated computer models. The predictions of such models are used to …

Parameterizations: representing key processes in climate models without resolving them

N McFarlane - Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 2011 - Wiley Online Library
A basic requirement of climate models is to account for the effects of processes that cannot
be represented in spatial or temporal detail because of limitations imposed by resolution or …

Should we believe model predictions of future climate change?

R Knutti - … Transactions of the Royal Society A …, 2008 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Predictions of future climate are based on elaborate numerical computer models. As
computational capacity increases and better observations become available, one would …

Effects of stochastic parametrization on conceptual climate models

DS Wilks - … Transactions of the Royal Society A …, 2008 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Conceptual climate models are very simple mathematical representations of climate
processes, which are especially useful because their workings can be readily understood …

Predicting climate change using response theory: Global averages and spatial patterns

V Lucarini, F Ragone, F Lunkeit - Journal of Statistical Physics, 2017 - Springer
The provision of accurate methods for predicting the climate response to anthropogenic and
natural forcings is a key contemporary scientific challenge. Using a simplified and efficient …

Modelling the climate system: an overview

G Gramelsberger, J Feichter - Climate change and policy: The calculability …, 2011 - Springer
A Google search for the keyword 'climate'on a cold summer day in August 2010 delivered
more than 150 million links in 0.23 s, and 'climate change'brought another 58 million …

A gallery of simple models from climate physics

D Olbers - Stochastic Climate Models, 2001 - Springer
The climate system of the earth is one of the most complex systems presently investigated by
scientists. The physical compartments—atmosphere, hydrosphere and cryosphere—can be …

Issues in the interpretation of climate model ensembles to inform decisions

DA Stainforth, TE Downing… - … of the Royal …, 2007 - royalsocietypublishing.org
There is a scientific consensus regarding the reality of anthropogenic climate change. This
has led to substantial efforts to reduce atmospheric greenhouse gas emissions and thereby …

Ensembles and probabilities: a new era in the prediction of climate change

M Collins - … Transactions of the Royal Society A …, 2007 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Predictions of future climate are of central importance in determining actions to adapt to the
impacts of climate change and in formulating targets to reduce emissions of greenhouse …

[PDF][PDF] Projections of future climate change

M Collins, CA Senior - Weather, 2002 - academia.edu
We now know that the surface of the earth is warming as a result of mankind's activities. The
obvious question then is``can we predict changes in climate that will happen in the …