Markovian and non-Markovian processes with active decision making strategies For addressing the COVID-19 pandemic

H Eftekhari, D Mukherjee, M Banerjee… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2020 - arxiv.org
We study and predict the evolution of Covid-19 in six US states from the period May 1
through August 31 using a discrete compartment-based model and prescribe active …

Markovian and non-Markovian processes with active decision making strategies for addressing the COVID-19 epidemic

H Eftekhari, D Mukherjee, M Banerjee, Y Ritov - 2020 - europepmc.org
We study and predict the evolution of Covid-19 in six US states from the period May 1
through August 31 using a discrete compartment-based model and prescribe active …

[PDF][PDF] When to lift the lockdown? global covid-19 scenario planning and policy effects using compartmental gaussian processes

Z Qian, AM Alaa, M van der Schaar - arXiv preprint arXiv:2005.08837, 2020 - academia.edu
Abstract The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak has led government officials
and policy makers to rely on mathematical compartmental models for estimating the …

The impact of public safety measures on the spread of COVID-19 in the United States assessed by causal model-based projections of the pandemic

K Amla, T Amla - arXiv preprint arXiv:2004.03200, 2020 - arxiv.org
The novel coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, and the disease it causes, COVID-19 was declared a
pandemic on March 11, 2020 by the World Health Organization. Since then, the disease has …

When and how to lift the lockdown? global covid-19 scenario analysis and policy assessment using compartmental gaussian processes

Z Qian, AM Alaa… - Advances in Neural …, 2020 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Abstract The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) global pandemic has led many
countries to impose unprecedented lockdown measures in order to slow down the outbreak …

[HTML][HTML] Modelling, prediction and design of COVID-19 lockdowns by stringency and duration

A Mellone, Z Gong, G Scarciotti - Scientific Reports, 2021 - nature.com
The implementation of lockdowns has been a key policy to curb the spread of COVID-19 and
to keep under control the number of infections. However, quantitatively predicting in …

[PDF][PDF] On fast multi-shot epidemic interventions for post lock-down mitigation: Implications for simple covid-19 models

M Bin, P Cheung, E Crisostomi, P Ferraro… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2020 - robertshorten.com
The initial UK government strategy of a timed intervention as a means of combating Covid-
19 is in stark contrast to policies adopted in many other countries which have embraced …

[HTML][HTML] Prediction and prevention of pandemics via graphical model inference and convex programming

M Krechetov, AM Esmaieeli Sikaroudi, A Efrat… - Scientific reports, 2022 - nature.com
Hard-to-predict bursts of COVID-19 pandemic revealed significance of statistical modeling
which would resolve spatio-temporal correlations over geographical areas, for example …

[HTML][HTML] Infection dynamics of COVID-19 virus under lockdown and reopening

J Svoboda, J Tkadlec, A Pavlogiannis, K Chatterjee… - Scientific reports, 2022 - nature.com
Motivated by COVID-19, we develop and analyze a simple stochastic model for the spread
of disease in human population. We track how the number of infected and critically ill people …

Pandemic simulation and forecasting of exit strategies: Convergence of machine learning and epidemiologicalmodels

S Ghamizi, R Rwemalika, M Cordy, Y Le Traon… - 2020 - orbilu.uni.lu
[en] The COVID-19 pandemic has created a public health emergency unprecedented in this
century. The lack ofaccurate knowledge regarding the outcomes of the virus has made it …