Estimates of the severity of COVID-19 disease

R Verity, LC Okell, I Dorigatti, P Winskill, C Whittaker… - MedRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
Background A range of case fatality ratio (CFR) estimates for COVID-19 have been
produced that differ substantially in magnitude. Methods We used individual-case data from …

[HTML][HTML] Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis

R Verity, LC Okell, I Dorigatti, P Winskill… - The Lancet infectious …, 2020 - thelancet.com
Background In the face of rapidly changing data, a range of case fatality ratio estimates for
coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have been produced that differ substantially in …

Case fatality risk of the first pandemic wave of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China

X Deng, J Yang, W Wang, X Wang… - Clinical Infectious …, 2021 - academic.oup.com
Background To assess the case fatality risk (CFR) of COVID-19 in mainland China, stratified
by region and clinical category, and estimate key time-to-event intervals. Methods We …

[HTML][HTML] Estimating clinical severity of COVID-19 from the transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China

JT Wu, K Leung, M Bushman, N Kishore, R Niehus… - Nature medicine, 2020 - nature.com
As of 29 February 2020 there were 79,394 confirmed cases and 2,838 deaths from COVID-
19 in mainland China. Of these, 48,557 cases and 2,169 deaths occurred in the epicenter …

An empirical estimate of the infection fatality rate of COVID-19 from the first Italian outbreak

G Rinaldi, M Paradisi - Medrxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
Abstract Background The coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has been spreading
globally for months, yet the infection fatality ratio of the disease is still uncertain. This is partly …

[HTML][HTML] Estimating risk for death from coronavirus disease, China, January–February 2020

K Mizumoto, G Chowell - Emerging infectious diseases, 2020 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Since December 2019, when the first case of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) was identified
in the city of Wuhan in the Hubei Province of China, the epidemic has generated tens of …

[HTML][HTML] Early estimation of the case fatality rate of COVID-19 in mainland China: a data-driven analysis

S Yang, P Cao, P Du, Z Wu, Z Zhuang… - Annals of …, 2020 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Background An ongoing outbreak of pneumonia caused by a novel coronavirus [severe
acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV)-2], named COVID-19, hit a major city …

How deadly is COVID-19? A rigorous analysis of excess mortality and age-dependent fatality rates in Italy

C Modi, V Boehm, S Ferraro, G Stein, U Seljak - MedRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
We perform a counterfactual time series analysis on 2020 mortality data from towns in Italy
using data from the previous five years as control. We find an excess mortality that is …

Temporal estimates of case-fatality rate for COVID-19 outbreaks in Canada and the United States

E Abdollahi, D Champredon, JM Langley, AP Galvani… - Cmaj, 2020 - Can Med Assoc
BACKGROUND: Estimates of the case-fatality rate (CFR) associated with coronavirus
disease 2019 (COVID-19) vary widely in different population settings. We sought to estimate …

[HTML][HTML] Real-time estimation of the risk of death from novel coronavirus (COVID-19) infection: inference using exported cases

S Jung, AR Akhmetzhanov, K Hayashi… - Journal of clinical …, 2020 - mdpi.com
The exported cases of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) infection that were confirmed
outside China provide an opportunity to estimate the cumulative incidence and confirmed …