A spatial model of COVID-19 transmission in England and Wales: early spread, peak timing and the impact of seasonality

L Danon, E Brooks-Pollock… - … Transactions of the …, 2021 - royalsocietypublishing.org
An outbreak of a novel coronavirus was first reported in China on 31 December 2019. As of
9 February 2020, cases have been reported in 25 countries, including probable human-to …

A spatial model of CoVID-19 transmission in England and Wales: early spread and peak timing

L Danon, E Brooks-Pollock, M Bailey, M Keeling - MedRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
Background An outbreak of a novel coronavirus, named CoVID-19, was first reported in
China on 31 December 2019. As of 9 February 2020, cases have been reported in 25 …

[HTML][HTML] Modelling and predicting the spatio-temporal spread of COVID-19, associated deaths and impact of key risk factors in England

B Sartorius, AB Lawson, RL Pullan - Scientific reports, 2021 - nature.com
COVID-19 caseloads in England have passed through a first peak, and at the time of this
analysis appeared to be gradually increasing, potentially signalling the emergence of a …

[HTML][HTML] Predictions of COVID-19 dynamics in the UK: Short-term forecasting and analysis of potential exit strategies

MJ Keeling, EM Hill, EE Gorsich… - PLoS computational …, 2021 - journals.plos.org
Efforts to suppress transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in the UK have seen non-pharmaceutical
interventions being invoked. The most severe measures to date include all restaurants, pubs …

The spatio-temporal distribution of COVID-19 infection in England between January and June 2020

R Elson, TM Davies, IR Lake, R Vivancos… - Epidemiology & …, 2021 - cambridge.org
The spatio-temporal dynamics of an outbreak provide important insights to help direct public
health resources intended to control transmission. They also provide a focus for detailed …

[HTML][HTML] Delaying the COVID‐19 epidemic in Australia: evaluating the effectiveness of international travel bans

A Adekunle, M Meehan, D Rojas‐Alvarez… - Australian and New …, 2020 - Elsevier
Objective: Following the outbreak of novel Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus‐
2 (SARS‐CoV‐2), and the disease named COVID‐19, in Wuhan, China in late 2019 …

Patterns of the COVID-19 pandemic spread around the world: exponential versus power laws

NL Komarova, LM Schang… - Journal of the Royal …, 2020 - royalsocietypublishing.org
We have analysed the COVID-19 epidemic data of more than 174 countries (excluding
China) in the period between 22 January and 28 March 2020. We found that some countries …

Initial simulation of SARS-CoV2 spread and intervention effects in the continental US

S Pei, J Shaman - MedRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
Here we use a metapopulation model applied at county resolution to simulate the spread
and growth of COVID-19 incidence in the continental United States. We calibrate the model …

[HTML][HTML] Transmission dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in England

Y Liu, JW Tang, TTY Lam - International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 2021 - Elsevier
Background The ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused a
tremendous health burden and impact on the world economy. The UK Government …

Modelling SARS-COV2 spread in London: approaches to lift the lockdown

L Goscé, A Phillips, P Spinola, RK Gupta, I Abubakar - Journal of Infection, 2020 - Elsevier
Objective To use mathematical models to predict the epidemiological impact of lifting the
lockdown in London, UK, and alternative strategies to help inform policy in the UK. Methods …