Wildfire prediction to inform fire management: statistical science challenges

SW Taylor, DG Woolford, CB Dean, DL Martell - 2013 - projecteuclid.org
Wildfire is an important system process of the earth that occurs across a wide range of
spatial and temporal scales. A variety of methods have been used to predict wildfire …

Modelling the daily probability of wildfire occurrence in the contiguous United States

T Keeping, SP Harrison… - Environmental Research …, 2024 - iopscience.iop.org
The development of a high-quality wildfire occurrence model is an essential component in
mapping present wildfire risk, and in projecting future wildfire dynamics with climate and …

Fire danger and fire behavior modeling systems in Australia, Europe, and North America

FM Fujioka, AM Gill, DX Viegas, BM Wotton - … in Environmental Science, 2008 - Elsevier
Wildland fire occurrence and behavior are complex phenomena involving essentially fuel
(vegetation), topography, and weather. Fire managers around the world use a variety of …

Statistical models of key components of wildfire risk

DDZ Xi, SW Taylor, DG Woolford… - Annual Review of …, 2019 - annualreviews.org
Fire danger systems have evolved from qualitative indices, to process-driven deterministic
models of fire behavior and growth, to data-driven stochastic models of fire occurrence and …

Spatiotemporal prediction of wildfire size extremes with Bayesian finite sample maxima

MB Joseph, MW Rossi, NP Mietkiewicz… - Ecological …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Wildfires are becoming more frequent in parts of the globe, but predicting where and when
wildfires occur remains difficult. To predict wildfire extremes across the contiguous United …

Prediction of regional wildfire activity in the probabilistic Bayesian framework of Firelihood

F Pimont, H Fargeon, T Opitz, J Ruffault… - Ecological …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Modeling wildfire activity is crucial for informing science‐based risk management and
understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of fire‐prone ecosystems worldwide. Models …

Predicting wildfires

P Andrews, M Finney, M Fischetti - Scientific American, 2007 - JSTOR
■ Other software is emerging that can gauge how future fires might be mitigated by thinning
forests or allowing some fires to burn. These models can help land managers and agencies …

The challenge of quantitative risk analysis for wildland fire

MA Finney - Forest ecology and management, 2005 - Elsevier
Quantitative fire risk analysis depends on characterizing and combining fire behavior
probabilities and effects. Fire behavior probabilities are different from fire occurrence …

Spatial variability in wildfire probability across the western United States

MA Parisien, S Snetsinger, JA Greenberg… - … Journal of Wildland …, 2012 - CSIRO Publishing
Despite growing knowledge of fire–environment linkages in the western USA, obtaining
reliable estimates of relative wildfire likelihood remains a work in progress. The purpose of …

Facing the wildfire spread risk challenge: where are we now and where are we going?

J Sun, W Qi, Y Huang, C Xu, W Yang - Fire, 2023 - mdpi.com
Wildfire is a sudden and highly destructive natural disaster that poses significant challenges
in terms of response and rescue efforts. Influenced by factors such as climate, combustible …