Algorithmic modelling of financial conditions for macro predictive purposes: Pilot application to USA data

D Qin, S van Huellen, QC Wang, T Moraitis - Econometrics, 2022 - mdpi.com
Aggregate financial conditions indices (FCIs) are constructed to fulfil two aims:(i) The FCIs
should resemble non-model-based composite indices in that their composition is adequately …

[PDF][PDF] Algorithmic modelling of financial conditions for macro predictive purposes: Pilot application to USA data, Econometrics, 10 (2): 22

D Qin, S van Huellen, QC Wang, T Moraitis - 2022 - academia.edu
Aggregate financial conditions indices (FCIs) are constructed to fulfil two aims:(i) The FCIs
should resemble non-model-based composite indices in that their composition is adequately …

Predictive Macro-Impacts of PLS-based Financial Conditions Indices: An Application to the USA

D Qin, QC Wang - 2016 - eprints.soas.ac.uk
This investigation seeks to construct financial conditions indices (FCIs) by the partial least
squares (PLS) method with the aims (i) that the FCIs should outperform interest rate, which is …

[HTML][HTML] Measuring financial conditions using equal weights combination

S Arrigoni, A Bobasu, F Venditti - IMF Economic Review, 2022 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
In this paper, we assess the merits of financial condition indices (FCIs) constructed using
equal weights averaging versus alternatives that use data reduction techniques, like …

The estimation of financial conditions indices for the major OECD countries

EP Davis, S Kirby, J Warren - 2016 - oecd-ilibrary.org
Financial conditions indices (FCIs) have been developed to summarise financial conditions
and also supplement more traditional macroeconomic forecasting. They capture market …

Financial conditions and economic activity: insights from machine learning

MT Kiley - 2020 - papers.ssrn.com
Abstract Machine learning (ML) techniques are used to construct a financial conditions index
(FCI). The components of the ML-FCI are selected based on their ability to predict the …

[PDF][PDF] A financial conditions index using targeted data reduction

G Kapetanios, S Price, G Young - 2015 - forecasters.org
Financial conditions indices (FCIs) aim to summarise the state of financial markets. In
principle they differ from the related monetary conditions indices by being composed of real …

Financial Condition Indices in an Incomplete Data Environment

MC Herculano, P Jacob - Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & …, 2023 - degruyter.com
Abstract We construct a Financial Conditions Index (FCI) for the United States using a
dataset that features many missing observations. The novel combination of probabilistic …

A UK financial conditions index using targeted data reduction: Forecasting and structural identification

G Kapetanios, S Price, G Young - Econometrics and statistics, 2018 - Elsevier
A financial conditions index (FCI) is designed to summarise the state of financial markets.
Two are constructed with UK data. The first is the first principal component of a set of …

Modelling the impact of aggregate financial shocks external to the Chinese economy

D Qin, X He - 2012 - papers.ssrn.com
Ways of extracting financial condition indices (FCI) are explored and alternative FCIs
external to the Chinese economy are constructed to model their predictive content. The …