Historical geopolitical risk and the behaviour of stock returns in advanced economies

AA Salisu, L Lasisi, JP Tchankam - The European Journal of …, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
In this study, we investigate the impact of global geopolitical risk (GPR) of different forms on
the economies of advanced countries (G7 and Switzerland). We construct a predictive …

Geopolitical risk and stock market development

M Khraiche, JW Boudreau, MSR Chowdhury - Journal of International …, 2023 - Elsevier
While previous literature has documented adverse impacts on financial markets in the days
following individual acts of terrorism or conflict-related events, we consider the more …

Geopolitical Risk and Stock Market Volatility in Emerging Economies: Evidence from GARCH‐MIDAS Model

M Yang, Q Zhang, A Yi, P Peng - Discrete Dynamics in Nature …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Previous studies have found that geopolitical risk (GPR) caused by geopolitical events such
as terrorist attacks can affect the movements of asset prices. However, the studies on …

Geopolitical risk and excess stock returns predictability: New evidence from a century of data

F Ma, F Lu, Y Tao - Finance Research Letters, 2022 - Elsevier
This study applies a new series of geopolitical risk historical indices developed by Caldara
and Iacoviello (2022) to predict stock returns. Empirical results show that the geopolitical …

Geopolitical risk and stock market volatility in emerging markets: A GARCH–MIDAS approach

AA Salisu, AE Ogbonna, L Lasisi, A Olaniran - The North American Journal …, 2022 - Elsevier
In this study, we examine the connection between geopolitical risk (GPR) and stock market
volatility in emerging economies. Our motivation for this study is premised on the need to …

The impact of mixed-frequency geopolitical risk on stock market returns

J Yang, C Yang - Economic Analysis and Policy, 2021 - Elsevier
To timely track and evaluate the impact of dynamic geopolitical risk (GPR) shocks, we use
mixed-frequency GPR to explain and forecast stock market returns. Our empirical findings …

Geopolitical risk and stock market volatility: A global perspective

Y Zhang, J He, M He, S Li - Finance Research Letters, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper investigates the relationship between geopolitical risk (GPR) and stock market
volatility from a global perspective. We use dynamic panel data including 32 countries and …

Does geopolitical risk matter for global asset returns? Evidence from quantile-on-quantile regression

Z Umar, A Bossman, SY Choi, T Teplova - Finance Research Letters, 2022 - Elsevier
We investigate the impact of geopolitical risk (GPR) generated by the Russian-Ukrainian
conflict on European and Russian bonds, equity, and global commodity markets. We employ …

Geopolitical risks, returns, and volatility in emerging stock markets: Evidence from a panel GARCH model

C Bouras, C Christou, R Gupta… - … Markets Finance and …, 2019 - Taylor & Francis
In this article, we analyze the role of country-specific and global geopolitical risks (GPRs) on
the returns and volatility of 18 emerging market economies over the monthly period of 1998 …

Asymmetric impacts of geopolitical risk on stock markets: A comparative analysis of the E7 and G7 equities during the Russian-Ukrainian conflict

A Bossman, M Gubareva - Heliyon, 2023 - cell.com
In a nonparametric quantile-on-quantile regression model, we analyze the asymmetric
financial impact of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict-induced geopolitical risk (GPR) on the top …