Model complexity affects species distribution projections under climate change

P Brun, W Thuiller, Y Chauvier… - Journal of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Aim Statistical species distribution models (SDMs) are the most common tool to predict the
impact of climate change on biodiversity. They can be tuned to fit relationships at various …

A test of species distribution model transferability across environmental and geographic space for 108 western North American tree species

ND Charney, S Record, BE Gerstner… - Frontiers in Ecology …, 2021 - frontiersin.org
Predictions from species distribution models (SDMs) are commonly used in support of
environmental decision-making to explore potential impacts of climate change on …

Assessing the reliability of species distribution projections in climate change research

L Santini, A Benítez‐López, L Maiorano… - Diversity and …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Aim Forecasting changes in species distribution under future scenarios is one of the most
prolific areas of application for species distribution models (SDMs). However, no consensus …

Which species distribution models are more (or less) likely to project broad-scale, climate-induced shifts in species ranges?

LJ Beaumont, E Graham, DE Duursma, PD Wilson… - Ecological …, 2016 - Elsevier
Species distribution models (SDMs) frequently project substantial declines in the spatial
extent of climatically suitable habitat in response to scenarios of future climate change. Such …

Improving species distribution models for climate change studies: variable selection and scale

MP Austin, KP Van Niel - Journal of biogeography, 2011 - Wiley Online Library
Statistical species distribution models (SDMs) are widely used to predict the potential
changes in species distributions under climate change scenarios. We suggest that we need …

Accounting for niche truncation to improve spatial and temporal predictions of species distributions

M Chevalier, A Zarzo-Arias, J Guélat… - Frontiers in Ecology …, 2022 - frontiersin.org
Species Distribution Models (SDMs) are essential tools for predicting climate change impact
on species' distributions and are commonly employed as an informative tool on which to …

A climate of uncertainty: accounting for error in climate variables for species distribution models

J Stoklosa, C Daly, SD Foster… - Methods in Ecology …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
Spatial climate variables are routinely used in species distribution models (SDMs) without
accounting for the fact that they have been predicted with uncertainty, which can lead to …

How much does climate change threaten European forest tree species distributions?

MK Dyderski, S Paź, LE Frelich… - Global change …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Although numerous species distribution models have been developed, most were based on
insufficient distribution data or used older climate change scenarios. We aimed to quantify …

Individualistic vs community modelling of species distributions under climate change

A Baselga, MB Araújo - Ecography, 2009 - Wiley Online Library
Studies investigating the consequences of future climate changes on species distributions
usually start with the assumption that species respond to climate changes in an …

On the dangers of model complexity without ecological justification in species distribution modeling

DM Bell, DR Schlaepfer - Ecological Modelling, 2016 - Elsevier
Although biogeographic patterns are the product of complex ecological processes, the
increasing complexity of correlative species distribution models (SDMs) is not always …