Can mathematical modelling solve the current Covid-19 crisis?

J Panovska-Griffiths - BMC Public Health, 2020 - Springer
Since COVID-19 transmission started in late January, mathematical modelling has been at
the forefront of shaping the decisions around different non-pharmaceutical interventions to …

Epidemiological models are important tools for guiding COVID-19 interventions

RN Thompson - BMC medicine, 2020 - Springer
Background The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has been responsible for
over three million reported cases worldwide, including more than 200,000 deaths (as of 1 …

A primer on using mathematics to understand COVID-19 dynamics: Modeling, analysis and simulations

AB Gumel, EA Iboi, CN Ngonghala… - Infectious Disease …, 2021 - Elsevier
Abstract The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic that emerged from Wuhan city in
December 2019 overwhelmed health systems and paralyzed economies around the world. It …

Commentary on Ferguson, et al.,“Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand”

S Eubank, I Eckstrand, B Lewis… - Bulletin of mathematical …, 2020 - Springer
A recent manuscript (Ferguson et al. in Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to
reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand, Imperial College COVID-19 Response …

Predictions of COVID-19 dynamics in the UK: Short-term forecasting and analysis of potential exit strategies

MJ Keeling, EM Hill, EE Gorsich… - PLoS computational …, 2021 - journals.plos.org
Efforts to suppress transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in the UK have seen non-pharmaceutical
interventions being invoked. The most severe measures to date include all restaurants, pubs …

A novel Monte Carlo simulation procedure for modelling COVID-19 spread over time

G Xie - Scientific reports, 2020 - nature.com
Abstract The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has now spread throughout most
countries in the world causing heavy life losses and damaging social-economic impacts …

Mathematical modeling and analysis of COVID-19 pandemic in Nigeria

E Iboi, OO Sharomi, C Ngonghala, AB Gumel - MedRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
Abstract A novel Coronavirus (COVID-19), caused by SARS-CoV-2, emerged from the
Wuhan city of China at the end of 2019, causing devastating public health and socio …

How simulation modelling can help reduce the impact of COVID-19

CSM Currie, JW Fowler, K Kotiadis, T Monks… - Journal of …, 2020 - Taylor & Francis
Modelling has been used extensively by all national governments and the World Health
Organisation in deciding on the best strategies to pursue in mitigating the effects of COVID …

[HTML][HTML] Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics

ME Kretzschmar, B Ashby, E Fearon, CE Overton… - Epidemics, 2022 - Elsevier
Mathematical modelling and statistical inference provide a framework to evaluate different
non-pharmaceutical and pharmaceutical interventions for the control of epidemics that has …

Modelling covid-19

A Vespignani, H Tian, C Dye, JO Lloyd-Smith… - Nature Reviews …, 2020 - nature.com
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