Richard Pettigrew offers an extended investigation into a particular way of justifying the
rational principles that govern our credences (or degrees of belief). The main principles that …

In Bayesian epistemology, the problem of the priors is this: How should we set our
credences (or degrees of belief) in the absence of evidence? That is, how should we set our …

Bayesian ideas have recently been applied across such diverse fields as philosophy,
statistics, economics, psychology, artificial intelligence, and legal theory. Fundamentals of …

154/James M. Joyce states reflect states of total evidence. It is often said, for instance, that
learning one proposition E increases a person's evidence for another X just in case Xs …

This book is a major new contribution to decision theory, focusing on the question of when it
is rational to accept scientific theories. The author examines both Bayesian decision theory …

This paper examines the debate between permissive and impermissive forms of
Bayesianism. It briefly discusses some considerations that might be offered by both sides of …

Jim Joyce has presented an argument for Probabilism based on considerations of epistemic
utility. In a recent paper, I adapted this argument to give an argument for Probablism and the …

Probabilistic models have much to offer to philosophy. We continually receive information
from a variety of sources: from our senses, from witnesses, from scientific instruments. When …

This book presents a major conceptual and speculative philosophic investigation of
knowledge, belief, and decision. It offers a distinctive approach to the improvement of …

Evidentialism holds that one's evidence entirely determines what one is epistemically
justified in believing. Advocates include John Locke, David Hume, WK Clifford, and Bertrand …