Consider a group of individuals who must act together as a team or committee, and suppose
that each individual in the group has his own subjective probability distribution for the …

DeGroot (1974) proposed a model in which a group of k individuals might reach a
consensus on a common subjective probability distribution for an unknown parameter. This …

Suppose a decision maker has asked a group of experts to assess subjective probability
distributions over some space, and he wishes to find a consensus probability distribution as …

In a decision analysis, it is often necessary to combine a group of individuals' beliefs into a
consensus probability distribution. This paper addresses the question whether it is possible …

This paper addresses the problem of aggregating a number of expert opinions which have
been expressed in some numerical form in order to reflect individual uncertainty vis-a-vis a …

When a group of k individuals is required to make a joint decision, it occasionally happens
that there is agreement on a utility function for the problem but that opinions differ on the …

A contribution is made to the problem of combining the subjective probability density
functions f1,⋯, fn of n individuals for some parameter θ. More precisely, the situation is …

Elicitation is a key task for subjectivist Bayesians. Although skeptics hold that elicitation
cannot (or perhaps should not) be done, in practice it brings statisticians closer to their …

“'But we can't agree whether A or B is correct,'he concluded,'and so we're collecting expert
opinions, weighting them appropriately, and programming WESCAC to arbitrate the whole …

The purpose of this paper is to review models and methods for aggregating opinions. By the
word “opinion” is meant the expression of a person's belief concerning the outcome of an …