A climate-change risk analysis for world ecosystems

M Scholze, W Knorr, NW Arnell… - Proceedings of the …, 2006 - National Acad Sciences
We quantify the risks of climate-induced changes in key ecosystem processes during the
21st century by forcing a dynamic global vegetation model with multiple scenarios from 16 …

Risk of severe climate change impact on the terrestrial biosphere

U Heyder, S Schaphoff, D Gerten… - Environmental Research …, 2011 - iopscience.iop.org
The functioning of many ecosystems and their associated resilience could become severely
compromised by climate change over the 21st century. We present a global risk analysis of …

A multi-model analysis of risk of ecosystem shifts under climate change

L Warszawski, A Friend, S Ostberg… - Environmental …, 2013 - iopscience.iop.org
Climate change may pose a high risk of change to Earth's ecosystems: shifting climatic
boundaries may induce changes in the biogeochemical functioning and structures of …

Sensitivity of global carbon pools and fluxes to human and potential climatic impacts

G Esser - Tellus B, 1987 - Wiley Online Library
Besides the emissions from fossil sources, the anthropogenic land use changes (clearings
and similar influences) the CO2 fertilization effect on the biosphere, and potential climatic …

A climate risk analysis of Earth's forests in the 21st century

WRL Anderegg, C Wu, N Acil, N Carvalhais, TAM Pugh… - Science, 2022 - science.org
Earth's forests harbor extensive biodiversity and are currently a major carbon sink. Forest
conservation and restoration can help mitigate climate change; however, climate change …

Global patterns in the vulnerability of ecosystems to vegetation shifts due to climate change

P Gonzalez, RP Neilson, JM Lenihan… - Global Ecology and …, 2010 - Wiley Online Library
Aim Climate change threatens to shift vegetation, disrupting ecosystems and damaging
human well‐being. Field observations in boreal, temperate and tropical ecosystems have …

Land and ocean carbon cycle feedback effects on global warming in a simple Earth system model

TM Lenton - Tellus B: Chemical and Physical Meteorology, 2000 - Taylor & Francis
A simple Earth system model is developed by coupling a box model of the global carbon
cycle to an energy-balance approximation of global temperature. The model includes a …

The vulnerability of the carbon cycle in the 21st century: An assessment of carbon-climate-human interactions

N Gruber, P Friedlingstein, CB Field… - The global carbon …, 2004 - books.google.com
In most scenario calculations to date, emissions from fossil-fuel burning are prescribed, and
a carbon cycle model computes the time evolution of atmospheric CO2 as the residual …

Global terrestrial carbon storage and uncertainties in its temperature sensitivity examined with a simple model

TM Lenton, C Huntingford - Global Change Biology, 2003 - Wiley Online Library
The future of the land carbon sink is a significant uncertainty in global change projections.
Here, key controls on global terrestrial carbon storage are examined using a simple model …

Climate change effects on vegetation distribution and carbon budget in the United States

D Bachelet, RP Neilson, JM Lenihan, RJ Drapek - Ecosystems, 2001 - Springer
The Kyoto protocol has focused the attention of the public and policymarkers on the earth's
carbon (C) budget. Previous estimates of the impacts of vegetation change have been …