Socio-economic futures in climate change impact assessment: using scenarios as 'learning machines'

F Berkhout, J Hertin, A Jordan - Global Environmental Change, 2002 - Elsevier
Climate impact assessment needs to take account of two interrelated processes: socio-
economic change and climate change. To date, future change in socio-economic systems …

A co-evolutionary approach to climate change impact assessment: Part I. Integrating socio-economic and climate change scenarios

I Lorenzoni, A Jordan, M Hulme, RK Turner… - Global Environmental …, 2000 - Elsevier
Climate change policies currently pay disproportionately greater attention to the mitigation of
climate change through emission reductions strategies than to adaptation measures …

Scenario method and stakeholder engagement: Critical reflections on a climate change scenarios case study

G Cairns, I Ahmed, J Mullett, G Wright - Technological forecasting and …, 2013 - Elsevier
Scenario method is presented in the literature as a means for engaging heterogeneous
stakeholder groups to explore climate change futures and to inform policy and planning for …

Negotiating future climates for public policy: a critical assessment of the development of climate scenarios for the UK

M Hulme, S Dessai - environmental science & policy, 2008 - Elsevier
Climate scenarios serve a number of functions in helping society manage climate change—
pedagogic, motivational or practical (for example, in engineering design, spatial planning …

Predicting, deciding, learning: can one evaluate the 'success' of national climate scenarios?

M Hulme, S Dessai - Environmental Research Letters, 2008 - iopscience.iop.org
Scenarios may be understood as products and/or processes. Viewing scenario exercises as
productive tends to emphasize their tangibility: scenario products may acquire value …

Framing climate uncertainty: socio-economic and climate scenarios in vulnerability and adaptation assessments

F Berkhout, B van den Hurk, J Bessembinder… - Regional environmental …, 2014 - Springer
Scenarios have become a powerful tool in integrated assessment and policy analysis for
climate change. Socio-economic and climate scenarios are often combined to assess …

A regional, multi-sectoral and integrated assessment of the impacts of climate and socio-economic change in the UK: Part I. Methodology

IP Holman, MDA Rounsevell, S Shackley, PA Harrison… - Climatic Change, 2005 - Springer
Policy makers and stakeholders are increasingly demanding impact assessments which
produce policy-relevant guidance on the local impacts of global climate change. The …

Developing qualitative scenario storylines for environmental change assessment

MDA Rounsevell, MJ Metzger - Wiley interdisciplinary reviews …, 2010 - Wiley Online Library
This article reviews the historic evolution of qualitative scenario storylines and the various
methods used in their development and application in environmental change assessment …

The need for and use of socio-economic scenarios for climate change analysis: a new approach based on shared socio-economic pathways

E Kriegler, BC O'Neill, S Hallegatte, T Kram… - Global Environmental …, 2012 - Elsevier
Socio-economic scenarios constitute an important tool for exploring the long-term
consequences of anthropogenic climate change and available response options. A more …

Implications of climate change mitigation for sustainable development

M Jakob, JC Steckel - Environmental Research Letters, 2016 - iopscience.iop.org
Evaluating the trade-offs between the risks related to climate change, climate change
mitigation as well as co-benefits requires an integrated scenarios approach to sustainable …