[图书][B] Multiparty electoral competition in the Netherlands and Germany: A model based on multinomial probit

N Schofield, AD Martin, KM Quinn, AB Whitford - 1998 - Springer
A typical assumption of electoral models of party competition is that parties adopt policy
positions so as to maximize expected vote share. Here we use Euro-barometer survey data …

An integrated computational model of multiparty electoral competition

KM Quinn, AD Martin - Statistical Science, 2002 - JSTOR
Most theoretic models of multiparty electoral competition make the assumption that party
leaders are motivated to maximize their vote share or seat share. In plurality-rule systems …

Are moderate parties rewarded in multiparty systems? A pooled analysis of Western European elections, 1984–1998

L Ezrow - European Journal of Political Research, 2005 - Wiley Online Library
We present cross‐national analyses–both cross‐sectional and longitudinal–estimating the
vote shares for approximately 80 parties across Western Europe from 1984 to 1998. The …

Voter choice in multi-party democracies: a test of competing theories and models

KM Quinn, AD Martin, AB Whitford - American Journal of Political Science, 1999 - JSTOR
We contrast social-structural theories of voting behavior with spatial theories of voting
behavior to explain voter choice in the Netherlands and Great Britain. We hypothesize that …

Spatial models of candidate competition and the 1988 French presidential election: Are presidential candidates vote‐maximizers?

J Adams, SM Iii - Journal of Politics, 2000 - Wiley Online Library
Existing applications of spatial modeling to historical elections suggest that parties rarely
maximize votes. This complicates the analyst's task because explanations of party behavior …

A valence model of political competition in Britain: 1992–1997

N Schofield - Electoral Studies, 2005 - Elsevier
Formal stochastic models of voting have concluded that vote maximizing parties will
converge to the mean of the electoral distribution. Much empirical evidence has concluded …

A probabilistic model for the spatial distribution of party support in multiparty electorates

S Merrill III - Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1994 - Taylor & Francis
Spatial models of electoral competition locate voters and parties at points in euclidean
space—representing issue positions—and specify utility of voters for parties as functions of …

Party policy equilibrium for alternative spatial voting models: An application to the Norwegian Storting

J Adams, S Merrill III - European Journal of Political Research, 1999 - Wiley Online Library
In recent years a lively debate has emerged concerning the empirical status of the traditional
proximity spatial model versus a directional model of voter choice. The central reason for this …

Modeling the interaction of parties, activists and voters: Why is the political center so empty?

N Schofield, I Sened - European Journal of Political Research, 2005 - Wiley Online Library
The formal stochastic model of voting should be the theoretical benchmark against which
empirical models can be gauged. A standard result in the formal model is the 'mean voter …

Modeling party strategies and policy representation in multiparty elections: Why are strategies so extreme?

J Adams, S Merril III - American Journal of Political Science, 1999 - JSTOR
Existing spatial models of multiparty spatial competition have difficulty accounting for two
related features of party behavior: that parties typically propose divergent policy programs …