Modelling of HIV prevention and treatment progress in five South African metropolitan districts

C Van Schalkwyk, RE Dorrington, T Seatlhodi… - Scientific reports, 2021 - nature.com
Globally, large proportions of HIV-positive populations live in cities. The Fast-Track cities
project aims to advance progress toward elimination of HIV as a public health threat by …

[PDF][PDF] Modelling the impact of HIV in South Africa's provinces: 2020 update

LF Johnson, RE Dorrington - Cape Town: Centre for Infectious …, 2021 - spotlightnsp.co.za
Executive summary Mathematical models have an important role to play in identifying which
interventions are having the greatest impact, and where HIV interventions are most needed …

Naomi: a new modelling tool for estimating HIV epidemic indicators at the district level in sub‐Saharan Africa

JW Eaton, L Dwyer‐Lindgren… - Journal of the …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Introduction HIV planning requires granular estimates for the number of people living with
HIV (PLHIV), antiretroviral treatment (ART) coverage and unmet need, and new HIV …

Population-level impact of an accelerated HIV response plan to reach the UNAIDS 90-90-90 target in Côte d'Ivoire: insights from mathematical modeling

M Maheu-Giroux, JF Vesga, S Diabaté, M Alary… - PLoS …, 2017 - journals.plos.org
Background National responses will need to be markedly accelerated to achieve the
ambitious target of the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS). This target …

Towards UNAIDS Fast-Track goals: targeting priority geographic areas for HIV prevention and care in Zimbabwe

DF Cuadros, J Li, Z Mukandavire, GN Musuka… - Aids, 2019 - journals.lww.com
Methods: Data were obtained from Zimbabwe Demographic and Health Survey (ZDHS)
conducted in 2015 as well as estimations from the Zimbabwe Population-Based HIV Impact …

Subnational mapping of HIV incidence and mortality among individuals aged 15–49 years in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–18: a modelling study

B Sartorius, JD VanderHeide, M Yang… - The Lancet …, 2021 - thelancet.com
Background High-resolution estimates of HIV burden across space and time provide an
important tool for tracking and monitoring the progress of prevention and control efforts and …

Progress towards the 2020 targets for HIV diagnosis and antiretroviral treatment in South Africa

LF Johnson, RE Dorrington, H Moolla - Southern African journal of …, 2017 - journals.co.za
Background: The UNAIDS targets for 2020 are to achieve a 90% rate of diagnosis in
HIVpositive individuals, to provide antiretroviral treatment (ART) to 90% of HIV-diagnosed …

Future HIV epidemic trajectories in South Africa and projected long-term consequences of reductions in general population HIV testing: a mathematical modelling …

SP Rautenbach, LK Whittles, G Meyer-Rath… - The Lancet Public …, 2024 - thelancet.com
Background After successful intensive interventions to rapidly increase HIV awareness,
coverage of antiretroviral therapy (ART), and viral suppression, HIV programmes in eastern …

Bridging the HIV treatment gap in Nigeria: examining community antiretroviral treatment models

EA Oladele, OA Badejo, C Obanubi… - Journal of the …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Introduction Significant gaps persist in providing HIV treatment to all who are in need.
Restricting care delivery to healthcare facilities will continue to perpetuate this gap in limited …

The effect of 90-90-90 on HIV-1 incidence and mortality in eSwatini: a mathematical modelling study

A Akullian, M Morrison, GP Garnett, Z Mnisi… - The Lancet …, 2020 - thelancet.com
Background The rapid scale-up of antiretroviral therapy (ART) towards the UNAIDS 90-90-
90 goals over the last decade has sparked considerable debate as to whether universal test …