Steel price volatility forecasting; application of the artificial neural network approach and GARCH family models

A Maleky Khorram, N Nourollahzadeh… - … Journal of Nonlinear …, 2024 - ijnaa.semnan.ac.ir
GARCH family models are the most widely-used methods for forecasting price volatility.
Given that this approach usually has extremely high forecast errors, continuous studies have …

Gold price volatility: A forecasting approach using the Artificial Neural Network–GARCH model

W Kristjanpoller, MC Minutolo - Expert systems with applications, 2015 - Elsevier
One of the most used methods to forecast price volatility is the generalized autoregressive
conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model. Nonetheless, the errors in prediction using …

Volatility of main metals forecasted by a hybrid ANN-GARCH model with regressors

W Kristjanpoller, E Hernández - Expert Systems with Applications, 2017 - Elsevier
In this article, we analyze volatility forecasts associated with the price of gold, silver, and
copper, three of the most important metals in the world market. First, a group of GARCH …

Volatility forecast based on the hybrid artificial neural network and GARCH-type models

X Lu, D Que, G Cao - Procedia Computer Science, 2016 - Elsevier
This study compares the forecast performance of volatilities between two types of hybrid
ANN and GARCH-type models. The findings show that EGARCH-ANN model performs …

[PDF][PDF] Modelling and forecasting Malaysian gold price using hybrid ANN-GARCH

FNM Yussof, MH Ahmad, H Osman - International Mathematical Forum, 2016 - m-hikari.com
GARCH family models are widely used in forecasting volatile time series data. In the current
study, the ability of GARCH (1, 1) model is improved in forecasting Malaysian gold, known …

A hybrid modeling approach for forecasting the volatility of S&P 500 index return

E Hajizadeh, A Seifi, MHF Zarandi… - Expert Systems with …, 2012 - Elsevier
Forecasting volatility is an essential step in many financial decision makings. GARCH family
of models has been extensively used in finance and economics, particularly for estimating …

Forecasting crude oil price volatility in India using a hybrid ANN-GARCH model

S Bhattacharya, A Ahmed - International Journal of …, 2018 - inderscienceonline.com
In this paper the volatility forecasts of crude oil commodity price returns are analysed.
Various GARCH family models are used to forecast the volatility and the output in terms of …

Forecasting volatility with support vector machine‐based GARCH model

S Chen, WK Härdle, K Jeong - Journal of Forecasting, 2010 - Wiley Online Library
Recently, support vector machine (SVM), a novel artificial neural network (ANN), has been
successfully used for financial forecasting. This paper deals with the application of SVM in …

Forecasting volatility of oil price using an artificial neural network-GARCH model

W Kristjanpoller, MC Minutolo - Expert Systems with Applications, 2016 - Elsevier
This paper builds on previous research and seeks to determine whether improvements can
be achieved in the forecasting of oil price volatility by using a hybrid model and …

Volatility forecast using hybrid neural network models

W Kristjanpoller, A Fadic, MC Minutolo - Expert Systems with Applications, 2014 - Elsevier
In this research the testing of a hybrid Neural Networks-GARCH model for volatility forecast
is performed in three Latin-American stock exchange indexes from Brazil, Chile and Mexico …