Real-time short-term traffic speed level forecasting and uncertainty quantification using layered Kalman filters

J Guo, BM Williams - Transportation Research Record, 2010 - journals.sagepub.com
Short-term traffic condition forecasting has long been argued as essential for developing
proactive traffic control systems that could alleviate the growing congestion in the United …

Adaptive Kalman filter approach for stochastic short-term traffic flow rate prediction and uncertainty quantification

J Guo, W Huang, BM Williams - Transportation Research Part C: Emerging …, 2014 - Elsevier
Short term traffic flow forecasting has received sustained attention for its ability to provide the
anticipatory traffic condition required for proactive traffic control and management. Recently …

[图书][B] Adaptive estimation and prediction of univariate vehicular traffic condition series

J Guo - 2005 - search.proquest.com
Aimed at providing the anticipatory ability for the proactive traffic control systems, a new
adaptive online short-term univariate traffic condition forecasting method is presented in this …

Data collection time intervals for stochastic short-term traffic flow forecasting

J Guo, BM Williams, BL Smith - Transportation Research …, 2007 - journals.sagepub.com
The specification of time intervals for data collection is a fundamental determinant of the
nature and utility of the resulting traffic condition data streams. In the context of short-term …

An adaptive-margin support vector regression for short-term traffic flow forecast

D Wei, H Liu - Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems, 2013 - Taylor & Francis
The day-to-day volatility of traffic series provides valuable information for accurately tracking
the complex characteristics of short-term traffic such as stochastic noise and nonlinearity …

A hybrid short-term traffic flow forecasting method based on spectral analysis and statistical volatility model

Y Zhang, Y Zhang, A Haghani - Transportation Research Part C: Emerging …, 2014 - Elsevier
Short-term traffic flow prediction is a critical aspect of Intelligent Transportation System.
Timely and accurate traffic forecasting results are necessary inputs for advanced traffic …

Adaptive seasonal time series models for forecasting short-term traffic flow

S Shekhar, BM Williams - Transportation Research Record, 2007 - journals.sagepub.com
Conventionally, most traffic forecasting models have been applied in a static framework in
which new observations are not used to update model parameters automatically. The need …

Real-time freeway traffic state estimation based on extended Kalman filter: Adaptive capabilities and real data testing

Y Wang, M Papageorgiou, A Messmer - Transportation Research Part A …, 2008 - Elsevier
This paper reports on real data testing of a real-time freeway traffic state estimator, with a
particular focus on its adaptive capabilities. The pursued general approach to the real-time …

Hybrid dual Kalman filtering model for short‐term traffic flow forecasting

T Zhou, D Jiang, Z Lin, G Han, X Xu… - IET Intelligent Transport …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Short‐term traffic flow forecasting is a fundamental and challenging task since it is required
for the successful deployment of intelligent transportation systems and the traffic flow is …

Real-time traffic prediction and probing strategy for Lagrangian traffic data

KC Chu, R Saigal, K Saitou - IEEE Transactions on Intelligent …, 2018 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
The objective of this paper is to present a new analytical tool that predicts highway
congestion in real time by utilizing a macroscopic traffic flow model, and to investigate a data …