A multi-method approach to modeling COVID-19 disease dynamics in the United States

A Mokhtari, C Mineo, J Kriseman, P Kremer, L Neal… - Scientific reports, 2021 - nature.com
In this paper, we proposed a multi-method modeling approach to community-level spreading
of COVID-19 disease. Our methodology was composed of interconnected age-stratified …

Prediction of COVID-19 data using hybrid modeling approaches

W Zhao, Y Sun, Y Li, W Guan - Frontiers in public health, 2022 - frontiersin.org
A major emphasis is the dissemination of COVID-19 across the country's many regions and
provinces. Using the present COVID-19 pandemic as a guide, the researchers suggest a …

[HTML][HTML] On the reliability of predictions on Covid-19 dynamics: A systematic and critical review of modelling techniques

JE Gnanvi, KV Salako, GB Kotanmi… - Infectious Disease …, 2021 - Elsevier
Since the emergence of the novel 2019 coronavirus pandemic in December 2019 (COVID-
19), numerous modellers have used diverse techniques to assess the dynamics of …

Validation framework for epidemiological models with application to COVID-19 models

KA Dautel, E Agyingi… - PLOS Computational …, 2023 - journals.plos.org
Mathematical models have been an important tool during the COVID-19 pandemic, for
example to predict demand of critical resources such as medical devices, personal …

Modeling COVID-19 epidemics in an Excel spreadsheet: Democratizing the access to first-hand accurate predictions of epidemic outbreaks

MM Alvarez, E González-González… - medRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
COVID-19, the first pandemic of this decade and the second in less than 15 years, has
harshly taught us that viral diseases do not recognize boundaries; however, they truly do …

The importance of local context in COVID-19 models

RM Eggo, J Dawa, AJ Kucharski… - Nature Computational …, 2021 - nature.com
COVID-19 models have been extensively used to inform public health officials about
potential interventions. Nevertheless, careful attention must be taken when extrapolating …

Data-based analysis, modelling and forecasting of the COVID-19 outbreak

C Anastassopoulou, L Russo, A Tsakris, C Siettos - PloS one, 2020 - journals.plos.org
Since the first suspected case of coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) on December 1st,
2019, in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China, a total of 40,235 confirmed cases and 909 deaths …

Four challenges associated with current mathematical modeling paradigm of infectious diseases and call for a shift

S Chen, P Robinson, D Janies… - Open forum infectious …, 2020 - academic.oup.com
Mathematical models are critical tools to characterize COVID-19 dynamics and take action
accordingly. We identified 4 major challenges associated with the current modeling …

A novel Monte Carlo simulation procedure for modelling COVID-19 spread over time

G Xie - Scientific reports, 2020 - nature.com
Abstract The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has now spread throughout most
countries in the world causing heavy life losses and damaging social-economic impacts …

Modeling COVID-19 epidemics in an Excel spreadsheet to enable first-hand accurate predictions of the pandemic evolution in urban areas

MM Alvarez, E González-González… - Scientific Reports, 2021 - nature.com
COVID-19, the first pandemic of this decade and the second in less than 15 years, has
harshly taught us that viral diseases do not recognize boundaries; however, they truly do …