Chinese and Italian COVID-19 outbreaks can be correctly described by a modified SIRD model

D Caccavo - MedRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
The COVID-19 disease is rapidly spreading in whole globe, affecting millions of people and
pushing governments to take drastic measures to contain the outbreaks. The understanding …

[PDF][PDF] Quantifying undetected COVID-19 cases and effects of containment measures in Italy: Predicting phase 2 dynamics

MG Pedersen, M Meneghini - preprint, 2020 - researchgate.net
The COVID-19 disease caused by the coronavirus SARS-nCoV2 is spreading rapidly across
the globe since its outbreak in China. Italy was the first seriously affected Western country …

A simple SIR model with a large set of asymptomatic infectives

G Gaeta - arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.08720, 2020 - arxiv.org
There is increasing evidence that one of the most difficult problems in trying to control the
ongoing COVID-19 epidemic is the presence of a large cohort of asymptomatic infectives …

Extended SIR prediction of the epidemics trend of COVID-19 in Italy and compared with Hunan, China

J Wangping, H Ke, S Yang, C Wenzhe… - Frontiers in …, 2020 - frontiersin.org
Background: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is currently a global public health
threat. Outside of China, Italy is one of the countries suffering the most with the COVID-19 …

Inefficiency of SIR models in forecasting COVID-19 epidemic: a case study of Isfahan

S Moein, N Nickaeen, A Roointan, N Borhani… - Scientific reports, 2021 - nature.com
The multifaceted destructions caused by COVID-19 have been compared to that of World
War II. What makes the situation even more complicated is the ambiguity about the duration …

Analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic by SIR model and machine learning technics for forecasting

BM Ndiaye, L Tendeng, D Seck - arXiv preprint arXiv:2004.01574, 2020 - arxiv.org
This work is a trial in which we propose SIR model and machine learning tools to analyze
the coronavirus pandemic in the real world. Based on the public data from\cite {datahub}, we …

A SIDARTHE model of COVID-19 epidemic in Italy

G Giordano, F Blanchini, R Bruno, P Colaneri… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2020 - arxiv.org
In late December 2019, a novel strand of Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) causing a severe,
potentially fatal respiratory syndrome (COVID-19) was identified in Wuhan, Hubei Province …

Data-based analysis, modelling and forecasting of the COVID-19 outbreak

C Anastassopoulou, L Russo, A Tsakris, C Siettos - PloS one, 2020 - journals.plos.org
Since the first suspected case of coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) on December 1st,
2019, in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China, a total of 40,235 confirmed cases and 909 deaths …

A SIR model assumption for the spread of COVID-19 in different communities

I Cooper, A Mondal, CG Antonopoulos - Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2020 - Elsevier
In this paper, we study the effectiveness of the modelling approach on the pandemic due to
the spreading of the novel COVID-19 disease and develop a susceptible-infected-removed …

[HTML][HTML] A modified SEIR model to predict the COVID-19 outbreak in Spain and Italy: simulating control scenarios and multi-scale epidemics

L López, X Rodo - Results in Physics, 2021 - Elsevier
After the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic out of China, evolution in the pandemic
worldwide shows dramatic differences among countries. In Europe, the situation of Italy first …