Probability and uncertainty in seismic hazard analysis

NA Abrahamson, JJ Bommer - Earthquake spectra, 2005 - journals.sagepub.com
In the current practice of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) using logic trees, it is
common to use the mean hazard curve to determine ground motions for engineering design …

Challenges of building logic trees for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis

JJ Bommer - Earthquake Spectra, 2012 - journals.sagepub.com
In the current practice of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), logic trees are widely
used to represent and capture epistemic uncertainty in each element of the models for …

The use and misuse of logic trees in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis

JJ Bommer, F Scherbaum - Earthquake Spectra, 2008 - journals.sagepub.com
Logic trees have become a standard feature of probabilistic seismic hazard analyses
(PSHA) for determining design ground motions. A logic tree's purpose is to capture and …

Problems in the application of the SSHAC probability method for assessing earthquake hazards at Swiss nuclear power plants

JU Klügel - Engineering Geology, 2005 - Elsevier
From 2000 to 2004 a large scale probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PEGASOS) was
created and performed as a research project, sponsored by the Swiss NPP utilities to …

Sensitivity of PSHA results to ground motion prediction relations and logic-tree weights

F Sabetta, A Lucantoni, H Bungum… - Soil dynamics and …, 2005 - Elsevier
Epistemic uncertainty in ground motion prediction relations is recognized as an important
factor to be considered in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA), together with the …

Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis and design earthquakes: closing the loop

RK McGuire - Bulletin of the Seismological Society of …, 1995 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (psha) is conducted because there is a perceived
earthquake threat: active seismic sources in the region may produce a moderate-to-large …

Error inflation in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis

JU Klügel - Engineering Geology, 2007 - Elsevier
Based on a consistent interpretation of earthquake occurrence as a stochastic process I
demonstrate that the mathematical model of Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) …

Critical issues on probabilistic earthquake loss assessment

V Silva - Journal of Earthquake Engineering, 2018 - Taylor & Francis
Probabilistic loss modeling can be used to develop risk reduction measures, such as the
identification of regions more prone to human and economic losses, or to develop financial …

How to combine deterministic and probabilistic methods for assessing earthquake hazards

EL Krinitzsky - Engineering Geology, 2003 - Elsevier
Deterministic seismic hazard analysis (DSHA) and probabilistic seismic hazard analysis
(PSHA) are incompatible methods. DSHA is based on geology and is attuned to physical …

[HTML][HTML] Why is probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) still used?

F Mulargia, PB Stark, RJ Geller - Physics of the Earth and Planetary …, 2017 - Elsevier
Even though it has never been validated by objective testing, Probabilistic Seismic Hazard
Analysis (PSHA) has been widely used for almost 50 years by governments and industry in …