A cross-sectional analysis of meteorological factors and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in 409 cities across 26 countries
There is conflicting evidence on the influence of weather on COVID-19 transmission. Our
aim is to estimate weather-dependent signatures in the early phase of the pandemic, while
controlling for socio-economic factors and non-pharmaceutical interventions. We identify a
modest non-linear association between mean temperature and the effective reproduction
number (Re) in 409 cities in 26 countries, with a decrease of 0.087 (95% CI: 0.025; 0.148)
for a 10° C increase. Early interventions have a greater effect on Re with a decrease of …
aim is to estimate weather-dependent signatures in the early phase of the pandemic, while
controlling for socio-economic factors and non-pharmaceutical interventions. We identify a
modest non-linear association between mean temperature and the effective reproduction
number (Re) in 409 cities in 26 countries, with a decrease of 0.087 (95% CI: 0.025; 0.148)
for a 10° C increase. Early interventions have a greater effect on Re with a decrease of …
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