the IMP when the forced component is determined from the forced-to-unforced discriminant.
Shading indicates twice the (top) standard error and (bottom) standard error of the estimates
as estimated from standard regression theory plus a contribution due to missing data. Blue
curve in the top panel indicates the ensemble mean time series of the forced-to-unforced …
Generalized least squares estimates of (top) the amplitude of the forced component and (bottom) …