Currently it is difficult to predict tumor response to anti-angiogenic therapy in individual patients. Our aim was to determine if ADC histogram analysis can stratify progression-free and overall survival in patients with newly diagnosed GBM treated “up-front” (ie, before tumor recurrence) with bevacizumab.

Up-front bevacizumab-treated and control patients (n = 59 and 62, respectively) with newly diagnosed GBM were analyzed by using an ADC histogram approach based on enhancing tumor. Progression-free and overall survival was determined by using Cox proportional HRs and the Kaplan-Meier method with logrank and Wilcoxon tests.

For up-front bevacizumab-treated patients, lower ADC_L was associated with significantly longer progression-free survival (median, 459 days for ADC_L < 1200 versus 315 days for ADC_L ≥ 1200 10⁻⁶mm²/s; P = .008, logrank test) and trended with longer overall survival (581 versus 429 days, P = .055). ADC values did not stratify progression-free or overall survival for patients in the control group (P = .92 and P = .22, respectively). Tumors with MGMT promoter methylation had lower ADC_L values than unmethylated tumors (mean, 1071 versus 1183 10⁻⁶mm²/s; P = .01, 2-group t test).

Pretreatment ADC histogram analysis can stratify progression-free survival in bevacizumab-treated patients with newly diagnosed GBM. Lower ADC is associated with tumor MGMT promoter methylation, which may, in part, account for the favorable outcome associated with low ADC_L tumors.