Bayesian nonparametric models for combining heterogeneous reliability data

RL Warr, DH Collins - … Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and …, 2014 - journals.sagepub.com
Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O …, 2014journals.sagepub.com
Modern complex engineering systems often present the analyst with a mix of data types that
can be used for reliability prediction: system test results, lifetime data from unit tests of
components, and subsystem data, all of which may have predictive value for the system
lifetime. We present a hierarchical nonparametric framework, using Dirichlet processes, in
which time-to-event distributions may be estimated from sample data or derived based on
physical failure mechanisms. By applying a Bayesian methodology, the framework can …
Modern complex engineering systems often present the analyst with a mix of data types that can be used for reliability prediction: system test results, lifetime data from unit tests of components, and subsystem data, all of which may have predictive value for the system lifetime. We present a hierarchical nonparametric framework, using Dirichlet processes, in which time-to-event distributions may be estimated from sample data or derived based on physical failure mechanisms. By applying a Bayesian methodology, the framework can incorporate prior information, including expert opinion.
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